Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Boomer Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boomer Shooter Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Boomer Shooter

Of 33 developers who shipped a Boomer Shooter Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 935% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Boomer Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $683 → $208 → $1.2k → $0 (still earning) → $4.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Boomer Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $419 (exactly $419)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Top 5% $722k (exactly $721,579)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 52
Announced 29
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 935% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Boomer Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Shooter, Action, FPS
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, First-Person, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,513 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $420, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $720k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Serious Sam 4 older $39.99 15,612 83% 468k $19M (exactly $18,729,716) Croteam
FUMES · EA $14.99 2,816 95% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) FUMES team
Onirism $17.99 1,337 82% 40k $722k (exactly $721,579) Crimson Tales
Command & Conquer Renegade™ older $6.96 851 83% 26k $178k (exactly $177,689) Westwood Studios
Zombie Shooting Star older $12.99 191 71% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,433) Twins Halo
Ultra Cop $1.99 195 89% 5.9k $12k (exactly $11,642) JG Roos
宗门最后的长老 $2.99 99 96% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) KUMA studio
Sherwood Extreme older $9.99 20 100% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) CAGE Studios
CYBER92 DATAWAR $9.92 14 50% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,166) Cyber92 Solo Developer
Night of the Dead Simulator $7.99 12 50% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Unknown People Lab
Ghost Battalion $18.99 5 80% 150 $2.8k (exactly $2,848) Weary Road Productions
WastePunk · EA $4.99 17 88% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) WastePunk
Intelektronica · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) RingoGames
Bot Hunter $6.99 10 100% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) Forge of Wonders

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.