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Should I ship a Billiards Simulation game?
Simulation + Billiards
Of 23 developers who shipped a Billiards Simulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 15 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $180 (exactly $180) |
| Top 25% | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 5% | $154k (exactly $154,438) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 66 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 975% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Billiards
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Simulation, Billiards; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, PvP, Physics
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,607 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Simulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomStrong odds
- + World War IFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + PinballFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + BirdsFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + MusicFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + ProgrammingFair
Comparable games
Who's Your Daddy?! 2016 · $7.7M 
Snooker 19 2019 · $676k 
Virtual Pool 4 2015 · $577k 
Cue Club 2: Pool & Snooker 2016 · $489k 
Sports Bar VR 2016 · $470k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Who's Your Daddy?! | older | $9.99 | 25,797 80% | 774k | $7.7M (exactly $7,731,361) | Evil Tortilla Games |
| | Snooker 19 | older | $29.99 | 751 73% | 23k | $676k (exactly $675,675) | Lab42 |
| | Virtual Pool 4 | older | $24.99 | 770 82% | 23k | $577k (exactly $577,269) | Celeris |
| | Cue Club 2: Pool & Snooker | older | $18.99 | 858 90% | 26k | $489k (exactly $488,803) | Bulldog Interactive |
| | Sports Bar VR | older | $19.99 | 784 83% | 24k | $470k (exactly $470,165) | Cherry Pop Games, Perilous Orbit |
 | Pool Nation | older | $6.99 | 2,208 89% | 66k | $463k (exactly $463,018) | Cherry Pop Games |
 | All-In-One Sports VR | older | $19.99 | 700 84% | 21k | $420k (exactly $419,790) | Appnori Inc. |
 | Nine-Ball Roulette | $3.99 | 2,159 88% | 65k | $258k (exactly $258,432) | WaveBox Labs | |
 | Pure Pool | older | $9.99 | 672 58% | 20k | $201k (exactly $201,398) | VooFoo Studios |
 | Pure Pool Pro | $24.99 | 206 66% | 6.2k | $154k (exactly $154,438) | Rockwater | |
 | My Car My Life | · EA | $1.99 | 171 98% | 5.1k | $10k (exactly $10,209) | Noguiin |
 | Dorts : A Darts Roguelike | $8.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $6.2k (exactly $6,203) | MovingPixels | |
 | Angel Club | $6.99 | 20 65% | 600 | $4.2k (exactly $4,194) | イルカのヒレ | |
 | SplitPool | $4.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Bindus Games | |
 | Pool | · EA | $5.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | Hard Shark Games |
 | CarCam | $3.99 | 8 25% | 240 | $958 (exactly $958) | Movcans Vadims | |
 | Billiards Pro Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Hard Shark Games |
 | 8 Ball Pool: Play Together | $5.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Red Suns Tech |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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