Games › Bikes › Bikes + Racing
Should I ship a Racing Bike game?
Bikes + Racing
Of 37 developers who shipped a Racing Bike game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×1.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×776 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 25% | $72k (exactly $72,389) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 37 |
| Released games | 149 |
| Announced | 36 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Bikes, Racing; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Simulation, Physics
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, Third Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 8,541 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bikes with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + SimulationFair
- + PvPFair
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + MotocrossLong shot
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + CyclingPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
Comparable games
MX Bikes 2019 · EA · $37M 
Riders Republic 2023 · $37M 
Descenders 2019 · $15M 
RIDE 4 2020 · $12M 
RIDE 5 2023 · $5.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MX Bikes | · EA older | $34.99 | 35,684 94% | 1.1M | $37M (exactly $37,457,495) | PiBoSo |
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | Descenders | older | $24.99 | 19,836 95% | 595k | $15M (exactly $14,871,049) | RageSquid |
| | RIDE 4 | older | $39.99 | 9,921 83% | 298k | $12M (exactly $11,902,224) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | RIDE 5 | older | $49.99 | 3,368 82% | 101k | $5.1M (exactly $5,050,990) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | RIDE 3 | older | $29.99 | 4,534 84% | 136k | $4.1M (exactly $4,079,240) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
 | Ride 2 | older | $24.99 | 2,499 87% | 75k | $1.9M (exactly $1,873,500) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | MX vs. ATV Reflex | older | $19.99 | 2,904 88% | 87k | $1.7M (exactly $1,741,529) | Rainbow Studios, THQ Nordic |
 | Trials® Rising | older | $19.99 | 2,860 62% | 86k | $1.7M (exactly $1,715,142) | RedLynx |
 | MAVRIX by Matt Jones | $39.99 | 969 80% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) | Third Kind Games | |
 | RIDE 6 | $59.99 | 549 68% | 16k | $988k (exactly $988,035) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | MotoGP™25 | $49.99 | 592 74% | 18k | $888k (exactly $887,822) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | Wheel World | $19.99 | 735 90% | 22k | $441k (exactly $440,779) | Messhof | |
 | MotoGP™26 | $59.99 | 225 64% | 6.8k | $405k (exactly $404,932) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | VRacer Hoverbike | $29.99 | 307 89% | 9.2k | $276k (exactly $276,208) | VertexBreakers | |
 | Tour de France 2025 | $39.99 | 182 77% | 5.5k | $218k (exactly $218,345) | Cyanide Studio | |
 | LANESPLIT | $17.99 | 381 77% | 11k | $206k (exactly $205,626) | FunkyMouse | |
 | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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