Should I ship a PvP Bike game?
PvP + Bikes
Only 10 developers shipped a PvP Bike game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, RIDE 6, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 675% on the market; 7 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $77k (exactly $76,781) |
| Top 5% | $888k (exactly $887,822) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $39.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 675% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Bikes; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Sports, Racing
- Price point
- $39.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, First-Person, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $39.99.
The top 10 games average 72% positive over 2,251 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
- + Match 3Long shot
Comparable games
Riders Republic 2023 · $37M 
RIDE 4 2020 · $12M 
RIDE 5 2023 · $5.1M 
TrackDayR 2021 · EA · $1.7M 
MXGP 2021 - The Official Motocross Videogame 2021 · $1.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | RIDE 4 | older | $39.99 | 9,921 83% | 298k | $12M (exactly $11,902,224) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | RIDE 5 | older | $49.99 | 3,368 82% | 101k | $5.1M (exactly $5,050,990) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | TrackDayR | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,213 86% | 66k | $1.7M (exactly $1,659,086) | MadCow S.r.l. |
| | MXGP 2021 - The Official Motocross Videogame | older | $39.99 | 1,165 85% | 35k | $1.4M (exactly $1,397,650) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | Dakar Desert Rally | older | $29.99 | 1,475 56% | 44k | $1.3M (exactly $1,327,058) | Saber Porto Ltd. |
 | MotoGP™22 | older | $29.99 | 1,338 82% | 40k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,799) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | HOT WHEELS UNLEASHED™ 2 - Turbocharged | older | $39.99 | 953 77% | 29k | $1.1M (exactly $1,143,314) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | RIDE 6 | $59.99 | 549 68% | 16k | $988k (exactly $988,035) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | MotoGP™25 | $49.99 | 592 74% | 18k | $888k (exactly $887,822) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | Pro Cycling Manager 25 | $39.99 | 496 75% | 15k | $595k (exactly $595,051) | Cyanide Studio | |
 | MotoGP™26 | $59.99 | 225 64% | 6.8k | $405k (exactly $404,932) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | Tour de France 2025 | $39.99 | 182 77% | 5.5k | $218k (exactly $218,345) | Cyanide Studio | |
 | Pro Cycling Manager 26 | $39.99 | 116 65% | 3.5k | $139k (exactly $139,165) | Cyanide Studio | |
 | Tour de France 2026 | $39.99 | 64 75% | 1.9k | $77k (exactly $76,781) | Cyanide Studios | |
 | Swiftrace Canyon | $11.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) | Optimotter | |
 | Evel Knievel | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Barnstorm Games | |
 | Dark Rally | $6.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $839 (exactly $839) | PLOP Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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