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Should I ship an Action Bike game?
Bikes + Action
Of 23 developers who shipped an Action Bike game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×184 the market median. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 27 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $10,912) |
| Top 5% | $276k (exactly $276,208) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 98 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Bikes, Action; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Sports, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,720 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bikes with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + SimulationFair
- + PvPFair
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + MotocrossLong shot
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + CyclingPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + RacingPoor odds
Comparable games
Riders Republic 2023 · $37M 
Descenders 2019 · $15M 
Ride 2 2016 · $1.9M 
MX vs. ATV Reflex 2010 · $1.7M 
Lonely Mountains: Downhill 2019 · $1.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | Descenders | older | $24.99 | 19,836 95% | 595k | $15M (exactly $14,871,049) | RageSquid |
| | Ride 2 | older | $24.99 | 2,499 87% | 75k | $1.9M (exactly $1,873,500) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | MX vs. ATV Reflex | older | $19.99 | 2,904 88% | 87k | $1.7M (exactly $1,741,529) | Rainbow Studios, THQ Nordic |
| | Lonely Mountains: Downhill | older | $19.99 | 2,741 89% | 82k | $1.6M (exactly $1,643,778) | Megagon Industries |
 | Trials Evolution: Gold Edition | older | $19.99 | 2,253 74% | 68k | $1.4M (exactly $1,351,124) | Redlynx Ltd, Ubisoft Shanghaï |
 | MAVRIX by Matt Jones | $39.99 | 969 80% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) | Third Kind Games | |
 | HOT WHEELS UNLEASHED™ 2 - Turbocharged | older | $39.99 | 953 77% | 29k | $1.1M (exactly $1,143,314) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | TT Isle of Man: Ride on the Edge | older | $19.99 | 1,049 74% | 31k | $629k (exactly $629,085) | KT Racing |
 | RiMS Racing | older | $49.99 | 408 65% | 12k | $612k (exactly $611,878) | Nacon Studio Milan |
 | VRacer Hoverbike | $29.99 | 307 89% | 9.2k | $276k (exactly $276,208) | VertexBreakers | |
 | Aquabike Rush | $39.99 | 87 91% | 2.6k | $104k (exactly $104,374) | Aquabike | |
 | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
 | Moto Rush Reborn | $12.99 | 43 97% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $16,757) | Baltoro Games | |
 | Escape from Ghosts | $12.99 | 28 71% | 840 | $11k (exactly $10,912) | Alex8778 | |
 | Swiftrace Canyon | $11.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) | Optimotter | |
 | MX Bodycam Bikes Racing | · EA | $4.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | GLOBAL SCRIPTUM |
 | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
 | Vicious Cycle | $7.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) | Brave Traveller Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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