Games › Bikes › Bikes + Platformer
Should I ship a Platformer Bike game?
Bikes + Platformer
Only 5 developers shipped a Platformer Bike game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Swiftrace Canyon, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $240, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $6.4k, ×4.3 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 4 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $239 (exactly $239) |
| Top 25% | $299 (exactly $299) |
| Top 5% | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 4 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bikes
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Platformer
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Bikes, Platformer
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 70% positive over 6,096 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 4 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Bikes with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + SimulationFair
- + PvPFair
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + MotocrossLong shot
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + CyclingPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + RacingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Trials® Rising | older | $19.99 | 2,860 62% | 86k | $1.7M (exactly $1,715,142) | RedLynx |
| | Trials Evolution: Gold Edition | older | $19.99 | 2,253 74% | 68k | $1.4M (exactly $1,351,124) | Redlynx Ltd, Ubisoft Shanghaï |
| | Turbo Kid | older | $19.99 | 402 92% | 12k | $241k (exactly $241,079) | Outerminds Inc. |
| | Steel Rats™ | older | $9.99 | 310 63% | 9.3k | $93k (exactly $92,907) | Tate Multimedia |
| | FutureGrind | older | $19.99 | 59 91% | 1.8k | $35k (exactly $35,382) | Milkbag Games |
| | Icycle: On Thin Ice | older | $6.99 | 107 96% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | Damp Gnat |
| | Urban Trial Tricky™ Deluxe Edition | older | $19.99 | 16 56% | 480 | $9.6k (exactly $9,595) | Tate Multimedia |
| | Watch Your Ride - Bicycle Game | older | $7.99 | 31 80% | 930 | $7.4k (exactly $7,431) | Tiny Magicians |
| | Homeland | older | $5.99 | 40 65% | 1.2k | $7.2k (exactly $7,188) | HeadHunters games |
| | Swiftrace Canyon | $11.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) | Optimotter | |
| | Pedals in Panic | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | MOJODYNAMIC | |
| | Chained Bikes | $1.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | Enceladus Games | |
| | JumPixelBike | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Tomiomi Games | |
| | Bike Stunts Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Hard Shark Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.