Games › Bikes › Bikes + Exploration
Should I ship an Exploration Bike game?
Bikes + Exploration
Only 14 developers shipped an Exploration Bike game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sledders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.2k against a market of $1.5k. 21 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.2k (exactly $4,190) |
| Top 25% | $38k (exactly $38,276) |
| Top 5% | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1105% on the market, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bikes
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Exploration
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Bikes, Exploration; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Cycling, Simulation
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 6,357 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 7 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bikes with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + SimulationFair
- + PvPFair
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + MotocrossLong shot
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + CyclingPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + RacingPoor odds
Comparable games
Sledders 2025 · $3.9M 
Lonely Mountains: Downhill 2019 · $1.6M 
TT Isle of Man: Ride on the Edge 2018 · $629k 
Pro Cycling Manager 25 2025 · $595k 
Wheel World 2025 · $441k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
| | Lonely Mountains: Downhill | older | $19.99 | 2,741 89% | 82k | $1.6M (exactly $1,643,778) | Megagon Industries |
| | TT Isle of Man: Ride on the Edge | older | $19.99 | 1,049 74% | 31k | $629k (exactly $629,085) | KT Racing |
| | Pro Cycling Manager 25 | $39.99 | 496 75% | 15k | $595k (exactly $595,051) | Cyanide Studio | |
| | Wheel World | $19.99 | 735 90% | 22k | $441k (exactly $440,779) | Messhof | |
 | Pro Cycling Manager 2024 | older | $39.99 | 340 81% | 10k | $408k (exactly $407,898) | Cyanide Studio |
 | Turbo Kid | older | $19.99 | 402 92% | 12k | $241k (exactly $241,079) | Outerminds Inc. |
 | Pro Cycling Manager 26 | $39.99 | 116 65% | 3.5k | $139k (exactly $139,165) | Cyanide Studio | |
 | Motorcycle Night Ride | · EA | $5.99 | 213 76% | 6.4k | $38k (exactly $38,276) | Suber Game Studio, Room Games |
 | Russian Hunter | older | $24.99 | 41 39% | 1.2k | $31k (exactly $30,738) | Piece Of Voxel |
 | You’ve Got a Package | $4.99 | 188 77% | 5.6k | $28k (exactly $28,144) | REVVALUTION Studio | |
 | BABULYA | $3.99 | 106 85% | 3.2k | $13k (exactly $12,688) | REVVALUTION Studio | |
 | [Southern Fjords] Newspaper Day | $3.99 | 87 68% | 2.6k | $10k (exactly $10,414) | Southern Fjords Games | |
 | Tiny Whiny Island | $3.99 | 35 85% | 1.1k | $4.2k (exactly $4,190) | Marshlander Games | |
 | Moxter | $9.99 | 9 55% | 270 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Aisten Lab, Dalton Bastos |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.