Do I ship it?

Games › Asynchronous Multiplayer › Asynchronous Multiplayer + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Tactical RPG?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Tactical RPG

Only 10 developers shipped a paid Asynchronous Multiplayer Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Oaken Tower, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $63k, ×100 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $900k, ×1443 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 99.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $330 (exactly $330)
Median $63k (exactly $62,508)
Top 25% $564k (exactly $563,859)
Top 5% $906k (exactly $906,293)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 27
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 41%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer, Tactical RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 84% positive over 6,784 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $63k, 1 in 4 over $560k, 1 in 20 over $900k.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. 4 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds10 devs · median $25k · 12 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  4. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  5. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  7. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  8. + SpaceLong shot15 devs · median $299 · 18 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  10. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  11. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced
  12. + NaturePoor odds10 devs · median $37k · 20 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Oaken Tower 2026 · EA · $906k Dwarven Realms 2024 · $854k Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island 2024 · $564k Wargroove 2 2023 · $242k Water Margin Scrolls 2026 · $73k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Oaken Tower · EA $9.99 3,024 89% 91k $906k (exactly $906,293) Bocary Studios
Dwarven Realms $9.99 2,850 81% 86k $854k (exactly $854,145) Crater Studios
Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island $39.99 470 85% 14k $564k (exactly $563,859) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Wargroove 2 older $19.99 403 69% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Chucklefish, Robotality
Water Margin Scrolls $9.99 244 40% 7.3k $73k (exactly $73,127) QingHe Games
Paper Animal Adventure · EA $14.99 139 95% 4.2k $63k (exactly $62,508) Cuddling Raccoons Studio
NebuLeet $15.99 53 90% 1.6k $25k (exactly $25,424) quasilyte
Conclave older $9.99 71 73% 2.1k $21k (exactly $21,279) 10x10 Room
Tormentis · EA older $19.99 27 88% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) 4 Hands Games
Smithy Wars older $3.99 19 68% 570 $2.3k (exactly $2,274) Bigboot Studios
Doll Hero Thirty-Six $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) 文山工作室
HexArmy · EA $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Nechtan
云梦之音 The Melody of Yunmeng $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) StarOrangeGames
BloodVeil $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Newgate Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.