Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Automation game?

Automation + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Only 12 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Automation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Territory: Farming and Warfare, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $56k, ×89 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $9.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×528 the market median. Revenue is up 780% on the market; 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 88.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 780% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Asynchronous Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Automation + Asynchronous Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $8.9k (exactly $8,902)
Median $56k (exactly $55,707)
Top 25% $103k (exactly $103,396)
Top 5% $332k (exactly $331,879)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 32
Announced 18
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 780% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation, Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,175 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $9.0k, median $56k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $9.0k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena older $14.99 846 87% 25k $380k (exactly $380,446) GFX47
Territory: Farming and Warfare $14.99 738 84% 22k $332k (exactly $331,879) Wit Studio
Batomon Showdown $14.99 327 87% 9.8k $147k (exactly $147,052) berrymint
Grail $9.99 345 89% 10k $103k (exactly $103,396) Sokpop Collective
Quantum Odyssey · EA $17.99 141 92% 4.2k $76k (exactly $76,098) Quarks Interactive
Craftlands Workshoppe older $19.99 110 58% 3.3k $66k (exactly $65,967) Arvydas Žemaitis
Screeps: Arena $19.99 105 82% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Screeps, LLC
Bots Are Stupid older $12.99 161 77% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Leander Edler-Golla
Eggo $5.99 310 83% 9.3k $56k (exactly $55,707) 天赋一饼 Meme Crepe
Evolve Lab · EA $14.99 69 94% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) SiRen Games
Doomfields $4.99 86 82% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,874) KJGames
One King Is Enough $10.99 27 77% 810 $8.9k (exactly $8,902) INVISIBLE GAMES
Assemblands $9.99 27 66% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Tafusoft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.