Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Only 8 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assetto Corsa Rally, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $17k, ×11 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.7k. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 10 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Asynchronous Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Asynchronous Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,619)
Median $17k (exactly $16,639)
Top 25% $64k (exactly $63,568)
Top 5% $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 28
Announced 10
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $17.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$17.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 15,779 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $63k, 1 in 20 over $7.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  8. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  10. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  11. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  12. + Time TravelFair20 devs · median $3.7k · 10 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
Solium Infernum older $39.99 1,571 88% 47k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) League of Geeks
TRYP FPV: Drone Racer Simulator · EA older $16.99 3,155 85% 95k $1.6M (exactly $1,608,103) UNDEAD BATTERY
Kayak VR: Mirage older $22.99 1,006 82% 30k $694k (exactly $693,838) Better Than Life
GearBlocks · EA older $14.99 759 90% 23k $341k (exactly $341,322) SmashHammer Games
EXOcars $19.99 106 69% 3.2k $64k (exactly $63,568) XOCUS
Football Club Simulator - FCS #21 older $9.95 183 66% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,625) Dinamic Games
World League Baseball older $14.99 113 69% 3.4k $51k (exactly $50,816) HAEGIN Co.,Ltd.
Pro Show Jumping older $19.99 60 85% 1.8k $36k (exactly $35,982) PSJ Studios
World Wide Hack · EA older $16.99 69 60% 2.1k $35k (exactly $35,169) Lotus Innovations
Riftborne · EA $7.99 108 91% 3.2k $26k (exactly $25,888) Pitio Productions
Airline Ops · EA $14.99 37 29% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) Smoky Bay Studio
VRider SBK™ $29.99 18 55% 540 $16k (exactly $16,195) Funny Tales
FootballLife $17.99 3 33% 90 $1.6k (exactly $1,619) 小伍
Pinball Trimball - First Mission $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Tripikseli
Cover My Buns $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BarStuds Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.