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Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Asynchronous Multiplayer
Only 8 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assetto Corsa Rally, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $17k, ×11 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.7k. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.6k (exactly $1,619) |
|---|---|
| Median | $17k (exactly $16,639) |
| Top 25% | $64k (exactly $63,568) |
| Top 5% | $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $17.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Asynchronous Multiplayer
- effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim, Asynchronous Multiplayer
- Price point
- $17.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 15,779 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Time TravelFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assetto Corsa Rally | · EA | $29.99 | 8,757 87% | 263k | $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) | Supernova Games Studios |
| | Solium Infernum | older | $39.99 | 1,571 88% | 47k | $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) | League of Geeks |
| | TRYP FPV: Drone Racer Simulator | · EA older | $16.99 | 3,155 85% | 95k | $1.6M (exactly $1,608,103) | UNDEAD BATTERY |
| | Kayak VR: Mirage | older | $22.99 | 1,006 82% | 30k | $694k (exactly $693,838) | Better Than Life |
| | GearBlocks | · EA older | $14.99 | 759 90% | 23k | $341k (exactly $341,322) | SmashHammer Games |
| | EXOcars | $19.99 | 106 69% | 3.2k | $64k (exactly $63,568) | XOCUS | |
| | Football Club Simulator - FCS #21 | older | $9.95 | 183 66% | 5.5k | $55k (exactly $54,625) | Dinamic Games |
| | World League Baseball | older | $14.99 | 113 69% | 3.4k | $51k (exactly $50,816) | HAEGIN Co.,Ltd. |
| | Pro Show Jumping | older | $19.99 | 60 85% | 1.8k | $36k (exactly $35,982) | PSJ Studios |
| | World Wide Hack | · EA older | $16.99 | 69 60% | 2.1k | $35k (exactly $35,169) | Lotus Innovations |
| | Riftborne | · EA | $7.99 | 108 91% | 3.2k | $26k (exactly $25,888) | Pitio Productions |
| | Airline Ops | · EA | $14.99 | 37 29% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $16,639) | Smoky Bay Studio |
| | VRider SBK™ | $29.99 | 18 55% | 540 | $16k (exactly $16,195) | Funny Tales | |
| | FootballLife | $17.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $1.6k (exactly $1,619) | 小伍 | |
| | Pinball Trimball - First Mission | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Tripikseli | |
| | Cover My Buns | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | BarStuds Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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