Do I ship it?

GamesAsynchronous MultiplayerAsynchronous Multiplayer + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Tabletop game?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Tabletop

Of 25 developers who shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×416 the market median. Revenue is up 1695% on the market; 35 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 1695% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $2.4k → $19k → $13k → $8.5k → $239 (still earning) → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $29,385)
Top 5% $261k (exactly $261,276)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 83
Announced 35
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1695% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer, Tabletop; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, PvP
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 2,498 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $600, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds10 devs · median $25k · 12 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  4. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  5. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  7. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  8. + SpaceLong shot15 devs · median $299 · 18 announced
  9. + Tactical RPGPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  10. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
Root older $14.99 5,049 90% 151k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,535) Dire Wolf
Through the Ages older $15.99 2,188 90% 66k $1.0M (exactly $1,049,584) CGE Digital
Twilight Struggle older $9.99 2,568 86% 77k $770k (exactly $769,630) Playdek, Inc.
Field of Glory II older $29.99 705 87% 21k $634k (exactly $634,288) Byzantine Games
Ark Nova $22.99 825 94% 25k $569k (exactly $569,002) Dire Wolf
D&D Lords of Waterdeep older $9.99 1,543 93% 46k $462k (exactly $462,437) Playdek, Inc.
Ascension: Deckbuilding Game older $9.99 1,435 88% 43k $430k (exactly $430,070) Playdek, Inc.
Small World older $9.99 931 71% 28k $279k (exactly $279,021) Days of Wonder
The Conquest of Go $14.99 581 94% 17k $261k (exactly $261,276) Wolfey Studios
Toy Smash Kaboom! $13.99 550 84% 17k $231k (exactly $230,835) Free Particle
Cascadia $14.99 210 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Dire Wolf
Space Imperia 4X $22.99 70 92% 2.1k $48k (exactly $48,279) Breich Games
Eclipse - 2nd Dawn for the Galaxy $12.99 95 57% 2.9k $37k (exactly $37,022) BrettspielWelt GmbH
Barrage $14.99 78 80% 2.3k $35k (exactly $35,077) Cranio Lab
Nature Game System $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) North Star Digital Games
Caverna $19.99 21 71% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) DIGIDICED
Canvas - The Board Game $14.99 19 89% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Mipmap Digital

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.