Do I ship it?

GamesAsynchronous MultiplayerAsynchronous Multiplayer + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Platformer?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Platformer

Only 16 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VHOLUME, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $898 → $210 → $1.5k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 5% $718k (exactly $718,080)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 45
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer, Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 3D Platformer, Adventure, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 4,092 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $710k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds10 devs · median $25k · 12 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  4. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  5. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  7. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  8. + SpaceLong shot15 devs · median $299 · 18 announced
  9. + Tactical RPGPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  10. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
VHOLUME $8.00 2,992 97% 90k $718k (exactly $718,080) Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels… (Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels Tiercelin)
Demon Tides $24.99 831 96% 25k $623k (exactly $623,001) Fabraz
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Bots Are Stupid older $12.99 161 77% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Leander Edler-Golla
Eden Genesis older $24.99 81 92% 2.4k $61k (exactly $60,726) Aeternum Game Studios S.L
Get Together: A Coop Adventure older $10.99 86 65% 2.6k $28k (exactly $28,354) Studio Sterneck
Pogo3D older $7.99 116 97% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,805) HEDGEWIZARDS
Step By Step older $9.99 61 96% 1.8k $18k (exactly $18,282) Tripp Rainey, Brice DiPiazza
OCO older $4.99 38 89% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) SPECTRUM48
Lost Marbles · EA older $9.99 18 100% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Cabbeast Games
To The Top, Mammoth! $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) isTom Games Kft.
JOTT : Jump Over The Time $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Gamezel
Breecell $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Masagomi Studio
Omashu: Snail Racing $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) The Indie Accord
AirShooShoo $2.99 4 100% 120 $359 (exactly $359) OldMan Inc.
Magnecube $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Alejandro Ibrahim Ojea, Alana Cristina… (Alejandro Ibrahim Ojea, Alana Cristina Fernández Basquero)
Portugal Tourism GP! $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) gueeto

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.