Do I ship it?

GamesAsynchronous MultiplayerAsynchronous Multiplayer + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Logic game?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Logic

Only 16 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Quantum Odyssey, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $200 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.0k → $2.4k → $449 → $0 → $59 (still earning) → $201 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $201 (exactly $201)
Top 25% $600 (exactly $600)
Top 5% $76k (exactly $76,098)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 45
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer, Logic
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 90% positive over 184 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $200, 1 in 4 over $600, 1 in 20 over $76k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds10 devs · median $25k · 12 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  4. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  5. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  7. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  8. + SpaceLong shot15 devs · median $299 · 18 announced
  9. + Tactical RPGPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  10. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena older $14.99 846 87% 25k $380k (exactly $380,446) GFX47
How 2 Escape older $12.99 684 71% 21k $267k (exactly $266,555) Breakfirst Games
Quantum Odyssey · EA $17.99 141 92% 4.2k $76k (exactly $76,098) Quarks Interactive
Hive older $9.99 244 83% 7.3k $73k (exactly $73,127) BlueLine Games
Bots Are Stupid older $12.99 161 77% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Leander Edler-Golla
Do U Copy? older $12.99 31 54% 930 $12k (exactly $12,081) Freaks United
Canvas - The Board Game $14.99 19 89% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Mipmap Digital
Chess! older $4.99 40 65% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Exeter Game Studios
Terranny · EA older $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Terranos Engineering
Paperback Vol. 2 older $6.99 15 66% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) Fowers Games
Clank-Robotics $6.99 14 92% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Clank Studios
Take That Hill $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Hunted Cow Games, HexWar Games
Twisted Logic: Abbotsfield $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Propulsion Games
Cosmo in Tarot: Tarot Study Simulator $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) YemixGames
Magnecube $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Alejandro Ibrahim Ojea, Alana Cristina… (Alejandro Ibrahim Ojea, Alana Cristina Fernández Basquero)
Chess Master Quest - Idle · EA $6.70 1 0% 30 $201 (exactly $201) LearnTech Games
Random Coin $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Kornux Games
Edd-E $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kyroaku

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.