Do I ship it?

GamesAsynchronous MultiplayerAsynchronous Multiplayer + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Local Co-Op game?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Local Co-Op

Only 8 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VHOLUME, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $10k, ×17 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $710k, ×1143 the market median. Revenue is up 295% on the market; 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 16.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 295% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $10k (exactly $10,490)
Top 25% $320k (exactly $320,122)
Top 5% $718k (exactly $718,080)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 26
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 295% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer, Local Co-Op
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 35,716 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $10k, 1 in 4 over $320k, 1 in 20 over $710k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds10 devs · median $25k · 12 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  4. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  5. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  7. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  8. + SpaceLong shot15 devs · median $299 · 18 announced
  9. + Tactical RPGPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  10. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
The Past Within older $5.99 14,673 94% 440k $2.6M (exactly $2,636,738) Rusty Lake
Tick Tock: A Tale for Two older $5.99 10,006 85% 300k $1.8M (exactly $1,798,078) Other Tales Interactive
Conquest of Elysium 5 older $29.99 1,872 90% 56k $1.7M (exactly $1,684,238) Illwinter Game Design
VHOLUME $8.00 2,992 97% 90k $718k (exactly $718,080) Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels… (Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels Tiercelin)
Disc Golf Masters · EA $24.99 427 83% 13k $320k (exactly $320,122) Spinoff Games
Wargroove 2 older $19.99 403 69% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Chucklefish, Robotality
Heroes of Normandie older $29.99 212 72% 6.4k $191k (exactly $190,736) Cat Rabbit
Charterstone: Digital Edition older $19.99 235 76% 7.1k $141k (exactly $140,930) Acram Digital
Get Together: A Coop Adventure older $10.99 86 65% 2.6k $28k (exactly $28,354) Studio Sterneck
Super World War $19.99 19 100% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Zero Games Studios
Forest of Deceit $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Ghost Camp
F2D - Steer To Persevere $9.99 16 100% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Zyg Studios
Checkers Kingdom $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Pinch Games
Two-Dye $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Smidd Games
Ray Cheng Trivia Editor $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Ray Cheng

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.