Do I ship it?

Games › Asynchronous Multiplayer › Asynchronous Multiplayer + Crafting

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Crafting game?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Crafting

Only 13 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Crafting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Turnbound, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×319 the market median. Revenue is up 1845% on the market; 23 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 1845% on the market, 23 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Crafting
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Crafting: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 5% $201k (exactly $200,566)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 33
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1845% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 36%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Crafting
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer, Crafting
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 646 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $900, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds10 devs · median $25k · 12 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  4. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  5. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  7. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  8. + SpaceLong shot15 devs · median $299 · 18 announced
  9. + Tactical RPGPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  10. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Small World 2013 · $279k Turnbound 2026 · $201k Ultimate Racing 2D 2 2023 · $145k Craftlands Workshoppe 2021 · $66k Screeps: Arena 2025 · $63k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Small World older $9.99 931 71% 28k $279k (exactly $279,021) Days of Wonder
Turnbound $14.99 446 78% 13k $201k (exactly $200,566) 1TK
Ultimate Racing 2D 2 older $9.99 485 92% 15k $145k (exactly $145,354) Applimazing
Craftlands Workshoppe older $19.99 110 58% 3.3k $66k (exactly $65,967) Arvydas Žemaitis
Screeps: Arena $19.99 105 82% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Screeps, LLC
Canvas - The Board Game $14.99 19 89% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Mipmap Digital
Assemblands $9.99 27 66% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Tafusoft
The Great Couturier older $9.99 19 63% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Challenging Games
BQM - BlockQuest Maker Remastered older $24.99 6 83% 180 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) Wonderland Kazakiri inc.
Soulreign $7.99 12 83% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Berraco
Astaryn: RPG Idler $3.99 19 63% 570 $2.3k (exactly $2,274) Karl Eriksson
Grid Warriors: Battles $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Junjo
Epic Idle Quest II $2.99 9 66% 270 $807 (exactly $807) PynkPanther
Scrap Battalion $12.99 2 100% 60 $779 (exactly $779) Corrosive Mortar
No Other Alchemists Here $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Trabasura

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.