Games › Simulation › Simulation + Assassins
Should I ship an Assassin Simulation game?
Simulation + Assassins
Only 15 developers shipped an Assassin Simulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Aquabike Rush, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 36 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper, while revenue is up 2960% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) |
| Top 5% | $104k (exactly $104,374) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 63 |
| Announced | 36 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2960% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Assassins
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Simulation
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 264 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Simulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomStrong odds
- + World War IFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + PinballFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + BirdsFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + MusicFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + ProgrammingFair
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed® Unity 2014 · $71M 
Cruelty Squad 2021 · $14M 
Assassin’s Creed® Rogue 2015 · $13M 
Hitman: Blood Money 2007 · $4.1M 
Intravenous 2021 · $1.7M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed® Unity | older | $29.99 | 79,116 77% | 2.4M | $71M (exactly $71,180,665) | Ubisoft |
| | Cruelty Squad | older | $19.99 | 23,209 96% | 696k | $14M (exactly $13,918,437) | Consumer Softproducts |
| | Assassin’s Creed® Rogue | older | $19.99 | 21,310 86% | 639k | $13M (exactly $12,779,607) | Ubisoft Sofia, Ubisoft Kiev |
| | Hitman: Blood Money | older | $9.99 | 13,642 93% | 409k | $4.1M (exactly $4,088,507) | Io-Interactive A/S |
| | Intravenous | older | $19.99 | 2,872 91% | 86k | $1.7M (exactly $1,722,338) | Explosive Squat Games |
 | Disney•Pixar Cars | older | $19.99 | 1,940 89% | 58k | $1.2M (exactly $1,163,418) | Beenox |
 | Endorphin Vice | · EA older | $9.99 | 3,436 56% | 103k | $1.0M (exactly $1,029,769) | Endorphin Studios |
 | SpyParty | · EA older | $24.99 | 1,140 77% | 34k | $855k (exactly $854,658) | Chris Hecker, John Cimino |
 | The Ship: Murder Party | older | $9.99 | 2,556 84% | 77k | $766k (exactly $766,033) | Outerlight Ltd. |
 | Death Coming/死神来了 | older | $6.99 | 3,043 89% | 91k | $638k (exactly $638,117) | NEXT Studios |
 | Aquabike Rush | $39.99 | 87 91% | 2.6k | $104k (exactly $104,374) | Aquabike | |
 | DETECTIVE - Rainy night | $10.99 | 80 70% | 2.4k | $26k (exactly $26,376) | k148 Game Studio | |
 | Toastercide | $9.99 | 28 100% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | The Chairman | |
 | Kebabstar 🌯⭐ | · EA | $14.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) | Zeybek |
 | CrimeBot 2: Detective Mystery Games | $7.99 | 24 50% | 720 | $5.8k (exactly $5,753) | RoboBot Studio | |
 | Empire of Vice : Chicago | · EA | $16.99 | 9 77% | 270 | $4.6k (exactly $4,587) | Artifex Parvus |
 | Pizza at Resort 64 | $2.99 | 16 87% | 480 | $1.4k (exactly $1,435) | Teresina Sun Gameworks | |
 | Corcovado's Night Guard | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | LuGuMiVi Games | |
 | Assassins Arena | $2.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Nightshade Interactive | |
 | Mary | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Pinster Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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