Games › Outbreak Sim › Outbreak Sim + Arcade
Should I ship an Arcade Outbreak Sim?
Outbreak Sim + Arcade
Only 8 developers shipped an Arcade Outbreak Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Backrooms: Partygoers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $3.9k, ×8.3 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,346) |
| Top 25% | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) |
| Top 5% | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Arcade
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Outbreak Sim, Arcade
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,639 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Outbreak Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RTSFair
- + ZombiesFair
- + Real Time TacticsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + Sci-fiLong shot
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + Time ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
Stubbs the Zombie in Rebel Without a Pulse 2021 · $1.1M 
Arizona Derby 2019 · $342k 
Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game 2024 · $36k 
Infectious 2020 · $9.2k 
Backrooms: Partygoers 2024 · $4.0k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Stubbs the Zombie in Rebel Without a Pulse | older | $19.99 | 1,781 89% | 53k | $1.1M (exactly $1,068,066) | Aspyr |
| | Arizona Derby | older | $18.99 | 601 77% | 18k | $342k (exactly $342,390) | Falcon Interactive |
| | Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game | older | $12.99 | 93 91% | 2.8k | $36k (exactly $36,242) | Steelkrill Studio |
| | Infectious | older | $3.99 | 77 67% | 2.3k | $9.2k (exactly $9,217) | Ziggy Makes Games |
| | Backrooms: Partygoers | $11.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) | Mascot Bro Studio | |
 | Try to Fly | older | $9.99 | 13 53% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | BoomBit |
 | Zombies Attack | $4.99 | 26 100% | 780 | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) | Liao Kai, LKK GAME | |
 | The Book of Plagues | $6.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | DiaMMax Games | |
 | KAIJU MONSTER VR | older | $9.99 | 5 40% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | VRAAR S.A. |
 | Get Clucked | $2.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $1.3k (exactly $1,346) | ThatCarrotFella | |
 | Walking Survival | $2.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Randomkey Inc., mttsus | |
 | Y2Kill | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Deathbat Studios | |
 | Potionworm | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Alifirov Vladislav | |
 | Wetline - Fire Break | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | AceBuffer |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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