Do I ship it?

GamesSimulationSimulation + Animals

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Animal Simulation game?

Simulation + Animals

Of 95 developers who shipped an Animal Simulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 233 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×603 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 233 games are announced against 81 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 233 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Simulation + Animals
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 95
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4M → $138k → $63k → $9.3k → $9.7k → $2.7k (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Simulation + Animals: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 95
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,187)
Top 5% $379k (exactly $378,521)
Developers, 2 yr 95
Released games 173
Announced 233
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 480% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Simulation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Animals
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Simulation; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Sandbox, Life Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 24,296 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 6 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 233 games are announced against 81 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Simulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  2. + Escape RoomStrong odds36 devs · median $3.6k · 26 announced
  3. + World War IFair23 devs · median $32k · 32 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair285 devs · median $12k · 362 announced
  5. + LGBTQ+Fair272 devs · median $9.7k · 303 announced
  6. + PinballFair27 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair672 devs · median $5.1k · 754 announced
  8. + BirdsFair19 devs · median $3.8k · 16 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair387 devs · median $3.0k · 490 announced
  10. + MusicFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 92 announced
  11. + Auto BattlerFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  12. + ProgrammingFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced

All 287 pairs on the Simulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Planet Zoo older $44.99 81,191 90% 2.4M $110M (exactly $109,583,493) Frontier Developments
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
WolfQuest: Anniversary Edition $29.99 11,511 97% 345k $10M (exactly $10,356,447) eduweb
Prehistoric Kingdom · EA older $29.99 5,640 90% 169k $5.1M (exactly $5,074,308) Blue Meridian
Bear and Breakfast older $19.99 4,574 89% 137k $2.7M (exactly $2,743,028) Gummy Cat
Let's Build a Zoo older $19.99 3,722 89% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,232,083) Springloaded
Everything is Crab: The Animal Evolution Roguelite $9.99 6,876 76% 206k $2.1M (exactly $2,060,737) Odd Dreams Digital
Chillquarium older $5.99 7,780 92% 233k $1.4M (exactly $1,398,066) Ben Reber
Meadow - A Shelter Game older $6.99 5,060 90% 152k $1.1M (exactly $1,061,082) Might and Delight
Cattails | Become a Cat! older $14.99 2,315 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,041,056) Falcon Development
Scriptorium: Master of Manuscripts $14.99 1,041 97% 31k $468k (exactly $468,138) Yaza Games
The Ranchers · EA $24.99 547 57% 16k $410k (exactly $410,086) The Ranchers
A Webbing Journey · EA $9.99 1,263 98% 38k $379k (exactly $378,521) Fire Totem Games
Farm to Table · EA $14.99 645 91% 19k $290k (exactly $290,056) indieGiant
Sort Them Ducks $5.99 1,461 92% 44k $263k (exactly $262,542) Mr.Duck
Exotica 2: Pet Shop Simulator $14.99 529 75% 16k $238k (exactly $237,891) Konrul Game
Virtual Hunter $24.99 173 71% 5.2k $130k (exactly $129,698) Korpi Games Oy
Abra-Cooking-Dabra $12.99 250 75% 7.5k $97k (exactly $97,425) Door 407

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.