Do I ship it?

Games › MMORPG › MMORPG + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike MMORPG?

MMORPG + Action Roguelike

Only 3 developers shipped a paid Action Roguelike MMORPG in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 5 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 27 more are announced, ×9.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.2k against a market of $1.3k. 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 27 announced, ×9.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MMORPG + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MMORPG + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 5% $253k (exactly $252,731)
Developers, 4 yr 5
Released games 34
Announced 27
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 59%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MMORPG
effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MMORPG, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 5 games average 60% positive over 765 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 27 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootPoor odds8 devs · median $253k · 57 announced
  2. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  3. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $144k · 107 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  6. + MagicPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 109 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds15 devs · median $65k · 130 announced
  8. + FantasyPoor odds27 devs · median $61k · 232 announced
  9. + Class-BasedPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds33 devs · median $52k · 252 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds28 devs · median $52k · 217 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced

All 71 pairs on the MMORPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Soulbound: Online 2026 · EA · $253k Hollow's Land 2022 · $29k 猎人修仙传 Hunter Immortal 2026 · $1.2k Magical Kingdom Fantasy 2023 · $179 World Of Mana 2023 · $150
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Soulbound: Online · EA $14.99 562 58% 17k $253k (exactly $252,731) SpiderWare
Hollow's Land older $4.99 195 66% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,192) Relax Minimalism
猎人修仙传 Hunter Immortal $7.99 5 20% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) blues
Magical Kingdom Fantasy older $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Hottest Gadgets Game Studio
World Of Mana older $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) SANGWOO LEE
Dungeon door $3.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Daniel.Co

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.