Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + 2D Platformer

Only 16 developers shipped a 2D Platformer Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Touhou Iyuushou ~ What the Bullet Hell?!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $30 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $2.1k → $7.5k → $30 → $240 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $30 (exactly $30)
Top 25% $359 (exactly $359)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $10,789)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 63
Announced 9
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, 2D Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shoot 'Em Up, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 8 games average 84% positive over 71 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $30, 1 in 4 over $350, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dad Quest older $12.99 101 86% 3.0k $39k (exactly $39,360) Sundae Month
Welcome Back To 2007 older $4.99 227 77% 6.8k $34k (exactly $33,982) Siberian Mouse
Zombodesert older $49.99 12 91% 360 $18k (exactly $17,996) Gamesforgames
Mess Adventures 2 older $4.99 86 81% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,874) Marvelous Games
Touhou Iyuushou ~ What the Bullet Hell?! $9.99 36 100% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Cyoltose, 雨夜枫雪制作组 , 雾雨威Channel, 神心飘游堂,… (Cyoltose, 雨夜枫雪制作组 , 雾雨威Channel, 神心飘游堂, 阐幽赜书房)
Guilty Force: Wish of the Colony older $9.99 25 64% 750 $7.5k (exactly $7,492) DarkExecutor
Eva:Final Mission older $2.99 79 75% 2.4k $7.1k (exactly $7,086) 拾光创梦, quan_home
惑星游侠-Planet Rogue older $16.99 10 80% 300 $5.1k (exactly $5,097) 赛里斯南方游戏工作室 [Sinae South Game Studio]
Biomech Hell older $6.99 23 95% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) SEEP
Danger Drone older $9.99 14 71% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Super Weapon Master 超级武器大师 $3.99 21 57% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Idea Cat
CHROMA+ELEKTRON · EA $13.99 4 100% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) Eric·ZDW
Angry Bean $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) DeadQueen Studios
Record of Beautiful Men and Beautiful Women $2.99 4 50% 120 $359 (exactly $359) TITK GAME
Galaxy CocoA $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) BuriGame
Y.E.L.L. $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Y.E.L.L. Crew
Ain't No Surprise $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Finnsoft
RETRO ROBOTS 2D $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Daniel Martínez Martínez-Pardo
Bullet Voyage $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Wending Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.