Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsVehicular Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vehicular Combat game?

Vehicular Combat

Of 372 developers who shipped a Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 842 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $780k, ×1257 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 842 games are announced against 228 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 842 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Vehicular Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 372
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $807 → $1.3k → $718 → $807 → $1.6k → $1.3k (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Vehicular Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 372
Bottom 30% $238 (exactly $238)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,626)
Top 5% $789k (exactly $789,205)
Developers, 2 yr 372
Released games 1,187
Announced 842
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Vehicular Combat
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 153,840 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $900, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $780k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 176 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 842 games are announced against 228 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Vehicular Combat

21 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Vehicular Combat + Historical Poor odds $32k 16 devs
  2. Vehicular Combat + Modern Poor odds $8.6k 18 devs
  3. Vehicular Combat + Mechs Poor odds $4.8k 24 devs
  4. Vehicular Combat + Female Protagonist Poor odds $4.8k 14 devs
  5. Vehicular Combat + World War II Poor odds $4.2k 15 devs
  6. Vehicular Combat + Dystopian Poor odds $2.7k 17 devs
  7. Vehicular Combat + Post-apocalyptic Poor odds $2.7k 39 devs
  8. Vehicular Combat + Cyberpunk Poor odds $2.4k 29 devs
  9. Vehicular Combat + Fantasy Poor odds $1.4k 12 devs
  10. Vehicular Combat + Military Poor odds $1.3k 75 devs
  11. Vehicular Combat + War Poor odds $1.3k 58 devs
  12. Vehicular Combat + Cold War Poor odds $807 15 devs
  13. Vehicular Combat + Robots Poor odds $719 28 devs
  14. Vehicular Combat + Naval Poor odds $719 9 devs
  15. Vehicular Combat + Sci-fi Poor odds $599 111 devs
  16. Vehicular Combat + Zombies Poor odds $300 15 devs
  17. Vehicular Combat + Artificial Intelligence Dead $1.4k 12 devs
  18. Vehicular Combat + Alternate History Dead $719 7 devs
  19. Vehicular Combat + Futuristic Dead $450 54 devs
  20. Vehicular Combat + Space Dead $298 62 devs
  21. Vehicular Combat + Aliens Dead $89 20 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 2042 older $59.99 260,308 49% 7.8M $468M (exactly $468,476,308) DICE
ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™ older $59.99 66,987 91% 2.0M $121M (exactly $120,556,504) FromSoftware, Inc.
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II older $39.99 87,494 88% 2.6M $105M (exactly $104,966,552) DICE
WARDOGS · EA $39.99 58,250 81% 1.7M $70M (exactly $69,882,525) BULKHEAD
Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced $59.99 26,652 81% 800k $48M (exactly $47,965,604) Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, U… (Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, Ubisoft Bordeaux, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft India, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Philippines, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Romania)
Mad Max older $19.99 57,651 91% 1.7M $35M (exactly $34,573,305) Avalanche Studios
Rising Storm 2: Vietnam older $24.99 42,381 87% 1.3M $32M (exactly $31,773,036) Antimatter Games, Tripwire Interactive
Trailmakers older $24.99 33,465 92% 1.0M $25M (exactly $25,088,710) Flashbulb
Need for Speed™ Payback older $29.99 27,424 85% 823k $25M (exactly $24,673,373) Ghost Games
Sonic Racing: CrossWorlds $69.99 11,479 93% 344k $24M (exactly $24,102,456) Sonic Team
Tokyo Xtreme Racer $49.99 15,284 93% 459k $23M (exactly $22,921,415) Genki Co., Ltd.
Hell Let Loose: Vietnam $39.99 10,702 61% 321k $13M (exactly $12,839,189) Expression Games
SAND: Raiders of Sophie · EA $24.99 12,485 49% 375k $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) Hologryph, TowerHaus
John Carpenter's Toxic Commando $39.99 6,274 72% 188k $7.5M (exactly $7,526,918) Saber Interactive
Wreckfest 2 · EA $34.99 5,578 73% 167k $5.9M (exactly $5,855,227) Bugbear
Pax Autocratica · EA $29.99 3,202 91% 96k $2.9M (exactly $2,880,839) Multiverse
Cleared Hot · EA $17.99 3,934 96% 118k $2.1M (exactly $2,123,180) Not Knowing Corporation

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.