Do I ship it?

Games › Vehicular Combat › Vehicular Combat + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Vehicular Combat game?

Vehicular Combat + World War II

Only 15 developers shipped a WWII Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SimplePlanes 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $780k, ×1257 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 27 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Vehicular Combat + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $480k → $51k → $32k → $759k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Vehicular Combat + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 25% $508k (exactly $507,946)
Top 5% $789k (exactly $789,205)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 66
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Vehicular Combat
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,445 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $500k, 1 in 20 over $780k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 5 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Vehicular Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Looter ShooterFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  2. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $62k · 75 announced
  4. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $32k · 101 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $32k · 36 announced
  6. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $20k · 43 announced
  7. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $15k · 97 announced
  8. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 36 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds25 devs · median $10k · 70 announced
  10. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $8.6k · 25 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds24 devs · median $4.8k · 52 announced

All 98 pairs on the Vehicular Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sprocket 2021 · EA · $7.4M Easy Red 2 2022 · $3.9M Panzer Knights 2021 · $1.4M FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction 2011 · $1.1M The Troop 2023 · $979k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sprocket · EA older $19.99 12,336 92% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) Hamish Dunn
Easy Red 2 older $8.99 14,278 90% 428k $3.9M (exactly $3,850,777) Marco Amadei
Panzer Knights older $24.99 1,896 79% 57k $1.4M (exactly $1,421,431) 樂磚Joy Brick
FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction older $9.99 3,672 17% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,100,498) Team 6 Studios
The Troop older $39.99 816 83% 24k $979k (exactly $978,955) Giant Flame
Arms Trade Tycoon: Tanks · EA older $29.99 1,000 65% 30k $900k (exactly $899,700) FunGi
SimplePlanes 2 · EA $19.99 1,316 92% 39k $789k (exactly $789,205) Jundroo, LLC
Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles · EA $39.99 633 87% 19k $759k (exactly $759,410) Drydock Dreams Games
Headquarters: World War II older $39.99 508 74% 15k $609k (exactly $609,448) Starni Games
Heroes of Valor · EA $14.99 1,324 90% 40k $595k (exactly $595,403) Fancy Cat Interactive
Tank Squad $19.99 847 70% 25k $508k (exactly $507,946) DeGenerals S.A.
Sherman Commander $29.99 117 64% 3.5k $105k (exactly $105,265) Iron Wolf Studio S.A.
Vincemus - Air Combat $14.99 114 82% 3.4k $51k (exactly $51,266) Virtual Convict
Battlefield Commander WWII · EA $19.99 54 70% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Sword of Steel
Transporter $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Acid Pixel Studios
Front Lines $1.99 23 60% 690 $1.4k (exactly $1,373) Waterfoul Studios
Sky Scramble $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) SpunjLabs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.