Do I ship it?

GamesVehicular CombatVehicular Combat + Alternate History

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alternate-History Vehicular Combat game?

Vehicular Combat + Alternate History

Only 7 developers shipped an Alternate-History Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FEED MY MECH, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×16 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $720 against a market of $630. 32 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 32 announced, ×16 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Vehicular Combat + Alternate History
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Vehicular Combat + Alternate History: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,846)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $11,688)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 33
Announced 32
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Alternate History
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Vehicular Combat
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 37,228 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×16 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Vehicular Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Looter ShooterFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  2. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $62k · 75 announced
  4. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $32k · 101 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $32k · 36 announced
  6. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $20k · 43 announced
  7. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $15k · 97 announced
  8. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 36 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds25 devs · median $10k · 70 announced
  10. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $8.6k · 25 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds24 devs · median $4.8k · 52 announced

All 98 pairs on the Vehicular Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sprocket · EA older $19.99 12,336 92% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) Hamish Dunn
Gunner, HEAT, PC! · EA older $29.99 7,603 91% 228k $6.8M (exactly $6,840,419) Radian Simulations LLC
Airships: Conquer the Skies older $24.99 6,197 95% 186k $4.6M (exactly $4,645,891) David Stark
HROT older $19.99 5,299 96% 159k $3.2M (exactly $3,177,810) Spytihněv
Stubbs the Zombie in Rebel Without a Pulse older $19.99 1,781 89% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,068,066) Aspyr
Arms Trade Tycoon: Tanks · EA older $29.99 1,000 65% 30k $900k (exactly $899,700) FunGi
Multi Turret Academy · EA older $8.99 1,778 95% 53k $480k (exactly $479,527) Yulia Games
Waves of Steel older $19.99 408 90% 12k $245k (exactly $244,678) TMA Games LLC
Titan Attacks! older $9.99 654 92% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) Puppygames
Aggressor · EA older $19.99 172 61% 5.2k $103k (exactly $103,148) Flashpoint Studios
FEED MY MECH $9.99 39 64% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) TheManiacMartian
War of Wheels · EA $14.99 13 100% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Dreambits Studio
Front Lines $1.99 23 60% 690 $1.4k (exactly $1,373) Waterfoul Studios
Careening · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Sean N Richardson
Flight Weapon $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Dying Tiger Studios AB
Time of War - Airstrike · EA $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Complex Games Studio
Doom Drive $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Berk Kalfa

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.