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Should I ship a Naval Vehicular Combat game?
Vehicular Combat + Naval
Only 9 developers shipped a Naval Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $47M, ×76378 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $157k (exactly $156,687) |
| Top 5% | $48M (exactly $47,965,604) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Vehicular Combat
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Naval
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Vehicular Combat
- Price point
- $11.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 52,197 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Vehicular Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Looter ShooterFair
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Real Time TacticsPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced | $59.99 | 26,652 81% | 800k | $48M (exactly $47,965,604) | Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, U… (Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, Ubisoft Bordeaux, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft India, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Philippines, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Romania) | |
| | From the Depths | older | $24.99 | 11,059 89% | 332k | $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) | Brilliant Skies Ltd. |
| | Naval Action | older | $19.99 | 10,187 52% | 306k | $6.1M (exactly $6,109,144) | Bermuda Computer Club |
| | Ultimate Admiral: Age of Sail | older | $29.99 | 2,007 78% | 60k | $1.8M (exactly $1,805,698) | Game-Labs |
| | Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles | · EA | $39.99 | 633 87% | 19k | $759k (exactly $759,410) | Drydock Dreams Games |
| | Combat Air Patrol 2: Military Flight Simulator | · EA older | $29.99 | 356 47% | 11k | $320k (exactly $320,293) | Sim155 Limited |
| | The Falconeer: Revolution Remaster | older | $19.99 | 416 81% | 12k | $249k (exactly $249,475) | Tomas Sala |
| | Waves of Steel | older | $19.99 | 408 90% | 12k | $245k (exactly $244,678) | TMA Games LLC |
| | BattleGroupVR2 | · EA | $24.99 | 209 85% | 6.3k | $157k (exactly $156,687) | SpaceOwl Games |
| | Silent Depth 2: Pacific | · EA older | $12.99 | 270 58% | 8.1k | $105k (exactly $105,219) | MicroProse Software |
| | FEBA Gunship R | $2.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $807 (exactly $807) | rucsgames | |
| | Legacy of Sail | $11.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $719 (exactly $719) | Hydran Software | |
| | Sail of Dreams | $2.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $628 (exactly $628) | DreamDwarf | |
| | Fortified Space | · EA | $3.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | Nightsail Game Studios |
| | Airplane Flight Simulator : Combat Zone | $14.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Ovilex Software | |
| | Navy Mission | $2.00 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | D.IKUSHIMA |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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