Should I ship a Motocross game?
Motocross
Of 26 developers who shipped a Motocross game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 28 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 235% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) |
| Top 5% | $988k (exactly $988,035) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 26 |
| Released games | 109 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Motocross
- effort 7 / 10 · low · bike physics plus track content
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Motocross
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 5,562 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
All pairs with Motocross
- Bikes + Motocross Long shot $959
- Motocross + Sports Long shot $839
- Motocross + Motorbike Long shot $449
- Motocross + Physics Poor odds $599
- Motocross + Racing Poor odds $478
- Motocross + Simulation Poor odds $449
- Motocross + Offroad Dead $959
- Motocross + Action Dead $599
- Motocross + Driving Dead $478
- Motocross + Arcade Dead $449
- Automobile Sim + Motocross Dead $299
Comparable games
MX Bikes 2019 · EA · $37M 
MX vs ATV Legends 2022 · $5.4M 
Sledders 2025 · $3.9M 
Laika: Aged Through Blood 2023 · $3.6M 
MX vs. ATV Reflex 2010 · $1.7M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MX Bikes | · EA older | $34.99 | 35,684 94% | 1.1M | $37M (exactly $37,457,495) | PiBoSo |
| | MX vs ATV Legends | older | $39.99 | 4,524 82% | 136k | $5.4M (exactly $5,427,443) | Rainbow Studios |
| | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
| | Laika: Aged Through Blood | older | $19.99 | 5,938 91% | 178k | $3.6M (exactly $3,561,019) | Brainwash Gang |
| | MX vs. ATV Reflex | older | $19.99 | 2,904 88% | 87k | $1.7M (exactly $1,741,529) | Rainbow Studios, THQ Nordic |
 | TrackDayR | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,213 86% | 66k | $1.7M (exactly $1,659,086) | MadCow S.r.l. |
 | MX vs ATV All Out | older | $39.99 | 1,332 81% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,598,000) | Rainbow Studios |
 | MXGP 2021 - The Official Motocross Videogame | older | $39.99 | 1,165 85% | 35k | $1.4M (exactly $1,397,650) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | Dakar Desert Rally | older | $29.99 | 1,475 56% | 44k | $1.3M (exactly $1,327,058) | Saber Porto Ltd. |
 | RIDE 6 | $59.99 | 549 68% | 16k | $988k (exactly $988,035) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | Monster Energy Supercross 25 - The Official Video Game | $59.99 | 276 49% | 8.3k | $497k (exactly $496,717) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
 | Wheelie City | $16.99 | 36 72% | 1.1k | $18k (exactly $18,349) | Devora Studios | |
 | Hangin' Off! | · EA | $5.99 | 45 93% | 1.4k | $8.1k (exactly $8,086) | Sk1ds Retro Works |
 | Stunt Bike Extreme | $4.99 | 21 95% | 630 | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) | Hyperkani | |
 | MX Bodycam Bikes Racing | · EA | $4.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | GLOBAL SCRIPTUM |
 | WINCH IT OUT | $4.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | ARASLANIX | |
 | MX Racing World | $7.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Nitx Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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