Games › Motocross › Motocross + Physics
Should I ship a Physics Motocross game?
Motocross + Physics
Only 14 developers shipped a Physics Motocross game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sledders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper, while revenue is down 45% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $18,349) |
| Top 5% | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Motocross, Physics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Character Customization, Motorbike, Racing
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, Third Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 5,510 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Motocross with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BikesLong shot
- + SportsLong shot
- + MotorbikeLong shot
- + RacingPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + OffroadDead
- + ActionDead
- + DrivingDead
- + ArcadeDead
- + Automobile SimDead
Comparable games
MX Bikes 2019 · EA · $37M 
MX vs ATV Legends 2022 · $5.4M 
Sledders 2025 · $3.9M 
RIDE 6 2026 · $988k 
Monster Energy Supercross - The Official Videogame 6 2023 · $768k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MX Bikes | · EA older | $34.99 | 35,684 94% | 1.1M | $37M (exactly $37,457,495) | PiBoSo |
| | MX vs ATV Legends | older | $39.99 | 4,524 82% | 136k | $5.4M (exactly $5,427,443) | Rainbow Studios |
| | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
| | RIDE 6 | $59.99 | 549 68% | 16k | $988k (exactly $988,035) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
| | Monster Energy Supercross - The Official Videogame 6 | older | $49.99 | 512 71% | 15k | $768k (exactly $767,846) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | MXGP 2020 - The Official Motocross Videogame | older | $29.99 | 703 83% | 21k | $632k (exactly $632,489) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | Monster Energy Supercross 25 - The Official Video Game | $59.99 | 276 49% | 8.3k | $497k (exactly $496,717) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
 | Wheelie City | $16.99 | 36 72% | 1.1k | $18k (exactly $18,349) | Devora Studios | |
 | Eggcelerate! to the Tropics | older | $11.99 | 37 97% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $13,309) | Tim Beaudet, Tyre Bytes LLC |
 | Stunt Bike Extreme | $4.99 | 21 95% | 630 | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) | Hyperkani | |
 | WINCH IT OUT | $4.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | ARASLANIX | |
 | Hydrofoil Surfing | $4.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Nightwork Studios | |
 | Driving Master D | $1.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $478 (exactly $478) | Cold9 | |
 | Car Crash Chaos | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Berk Kalfa |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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