Games › Motocross › Motocross + Offroad
Should I ship a Motocross Offroad game?
Motocross + Offroad
Only 7 developers shipped a Motocross Offroad game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sledders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $960 against a market of $1.5k. 9 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $839 (exactly $839) |
|---|---|
| Median | $959 (exactly $959) |
| Top 25% | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) |
| Top 5% | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Motocross, Offroad
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 55,110 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. 9 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Motocross with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BikesLong shot
- + SportsLong shot
- + MotorbikeLong shot
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + RacingPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + ActionDead
- + DrivingDead
- + ArcadeDead
- + Automobile SimDead
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MX Bikes | · EA older | $34.99 | 35,684 94% | 1.1M | $37M (exactly $37,457,495) | PiBoSo |
| | MX vs ATV Legends | older | $39.99 | 4,524 82% | 136k | $5.4M (exactly $5,427,443) | Rainbow Studios |
| | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
| | MX vs. ATV Reflex | older | $19.99 | 2,904 88% | 87k | $1.7M (exactly $1,741,529) | Rainbow Studios, THQ Nordic |
| | TrackDayR | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,213 86% | 66k | $1.7M (exactly $1,659,086) | MadCow S.r.l. |
| | MX vs ATV All Out | older | $39.99 | 1,332 81% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,598,000) | Rainbow Studios |
| | Dakar Desert Rally | older | $29.99 | 1,475 56% | 44k | $1.3M (exactly $1,327,058) | Saber Porto Ltd. |
| | MXGP3 - The Official Motocross Videogame | older | $19.99 | 1,032 86% | 31k | $619k (exactly $618,890) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | MXGP PRO | older | $19.99 | 945 84% | 28k | $567k (exactly $566,716) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | MX vs. ATV Supercross Encore | older | $29.99 | 629 62% | 19k | $566k (exactly $565,911) | Rainbow Studios, THQ Nordic |
| | MX Bodycam Bikes Racing | · EA | $4.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | GLOBAL SCRIPTUM |
| | WINCH IT OUT | $4.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | ARASLANIX | |
| | MX Racing World | $7.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Nitx Games | |
| | Dark Rally | $6.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $839 (exactly $839) | PLOP Studio | |
| | Car Crash Chaos | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Berk Kalfa | |
| | Rutted | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | ApeXPloit Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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