Do I ship it?

Games › Hunting › Hunting + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Hunting game?

Hunting + Fantasy

Only 17 developers shipped a Fantasy Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Monster Hunter Wilds, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 50 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 75% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 50 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $1.5k → $7.0k → $1.3k → $749k → $359 → $4.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $419 (exactly $419)
Top 25% $67k (exactly $67,104)
Top 5% $241M (exactly $241,120,505)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 84
Announced 50
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Character Customization, Adventure, Co-op
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 52% positive over 202,922 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $420, 1 in 4 over $67k, 1 in 20 over $240M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Monster Hunter Wilds 2025 · $241M MONSTER HUNTER RISE 2022 · $96M WILD HEARTS™ 2023 · $22M Monster Hunter Stories 2: Wings of Ruin 2021 · $14M Toukiden: Kiwami 2015 · $2.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monster Hunter Wilds $39.99 200,984 52% 6.0M $241M (exactly $241,120,505) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
MONSTER HUNTER RISE older $39.99 79,847 84% 2.4M $96M (exactly $95,792,446) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
WILD HEARTS™ older $69.99 10,626 48% 319k $22M (exactly $22,311,412) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Monster Hunter Stories 2: Wings of Ruin older $39.99 11,845 82% 355k $14M (exactly $14,210,446) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Toukiden: Kiwami older $59.99 1,134 69% 34k $2.0M (exactly $2,040,860) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Monster Hunter Stories older $29.99 1,615 90% 48k $1.5M (exactly $1,453,016) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Card Survival: Fantasy Forest · EA $21.99 1,135 76% 34k $749k (exactly $748,760) WinterSpring Games
Hunt and Snare · EA older $29.99 720 80% 22k $648k (exactly $647,784) Ruffleneck, Hare, Drathek
Adore older $19.99 396 87% 12k $237k (exactly $237,481) Cadabra Games
DYSPLACED · EA $24.99 296 87% 8.9k $222k (exactly $221,911) 10tons Ltd
Hunters Inc $14.99 155 56% 4.7k $70k (exactly $69,704) WYLDERZONE
Legends of Wasteland $6.99 320 62% 9.6k $67k (exactly $67,104) 清友工作室
ShuffleHunt $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) PURESO_STUDIO
For One Year $9.99 7 85% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Hushberry Games LLC
猎人修仙传 Hunter Immortal $7.99 5 20% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) blues
Back to Modern World - Fantasy Hero $6.99 2 50% 60 $419 (exactly $419) S Xavier Uy
Ravenhille: Awakened $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) QuantumPixel

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.