Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Hunting game?

Hunting + Arcade

Of 23 developers who shipped an Arcade Hunting game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $320 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $748 → $359 → $1.9k → $657 → $299 → $315 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $315 (exactly $315)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Top 5% $24k (exactly $23,994)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 75
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Arcade; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Simulation, Sports
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Funny, Side Scroller
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 494 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $320, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of the Wild: The Angler™ older $29.99 6,122 63% 184k $5.5M (exactly $5,507,963) Expansive Worlds
IS Defense older $5.99 1,465 91% 44k $263k (exactly $263,260) Destructive Creations
Catch Me $5.99 178 70% 5.3k $32k (exactly $31,987) Doorway Games
Death in the Water older $2.99 278 74% 8.3k $25k (exactly $24,937) Lighthouse Games Studio
Big Buck Hunter: Ultimate Trophy $39.99 20 60% 600 $24k (exactly $23,994) Cradle Games, Play Mechanix, Inc
Crowhille - Detective Case Files VR older $5.99 90 88% 2.7k $16k (exactly $16,173) Saturn VR, NipsApp Gaming Software
The Original Moorhuhn Hunt $2.99 140 97% 4.2k $13k (exactly $12,558) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Legendary Hunter VR older $9.99 38 73% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) LastnOni
Moorhuhn X - Crazy Chicken X older $4.99 47 100% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Drunk Builder Simulator $2.99 78 39% 2.3k $7.0k (exactly $6,997) Viper
Moorhuhn Remake $2.99 38 89% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Dino running from a FURRY: GAMESFORFARM $2.99 21 100% 630 $1.9k (exactly $1,884) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm
Ghost Hunters $14.99 3 33% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) 8floor ltd
Fish Box $4.99 8 62% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) DoXMo
The Fishercat $4.99 6 83% 180 $898 (exactly $898) MACARON STUDIO
Peaceful Bug Catching Story $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) SAT-BOX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.