Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Hunting game?

Hunting + 3D Platformer

Only 17 developers shipped a 3D Platformer Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, IfSunSets, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2181 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 10 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 10 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $479 → $3.8k → $299 → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,798)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 46
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, 3D Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 2,521 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
IfSunSets · EA $19.99 2,284 74% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) POLYMORPH
Catch Me $5.99 178 70% 5.3k $32k (exactly $31,987) Doorway Games
EXELIO · EA $19.99 17 64% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) AI Frog Interactive, Inc.
ARTDINK GAME LOG: Tail of the Sun $19.99 14 100% 420 $8.4k (exactly $8,396) ARTDINK
Off Grids older $19.99 10 20% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Querio
Man Made · EA $19.99 8 37% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Rule51
Island Raft Survival 2021: Ocean Escape · EA older $2.99 43 37% 1.3k $3.9k (exactly $3,857) Francolins studio
LivingForest $15.99 8 62% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) LivingEveryday
CODE:VALKYRIE III $19.99 6 66% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ulimworks
SHOOTING STAR VR · EA older $14.99 7 85% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Looksten Inc.
The Final Shuffle $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) KaashFusionStudio
Sherlock Holmes – The Hunt for Moriarty $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Joindots Interactive GmbH
VELTHRA $12.40 1 0% 30 $372 (exactly $372) mttsus

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.