Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Hunting game?

Hunting + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 9 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kalahari’s End, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $630. 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 3710% on the market, 28 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.2k → $181 → $178 → $3.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,884)
Top 5% $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 41
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3710% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.02.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 2,207 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $1.8k, 1 in 20 over $4.0k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Red Lantern older $24.99 934 83% 28k $700k (exactly $700,220) Timberline Studio
Slow living with Princess older $19.99 580 87% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE.
Arctic Anxiety · EA older $2.99 285 55% 8.6k $26k (exactly $25,565) Arctic Studio
e-River Cabin Journal older $9.99 54 50% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) Wilderness Journal Games
Survive or Thrive older $1.99 233 98% 7.0k $14k (exactly $13,910) Randumb Studios
The Hermit Chronicles older $9.99 39 64% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) WinterTent Studio
Wildstrive · EA older $7.99 34 44% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) MonsterGaze
Lost Love Island older $7.99 22 59% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) OneCoin
4 Kingdoms Supremacy · EA older $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) PiggyNose Games
Kalahari’s End · EA $14.99 9 55% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Owlfig Games
Birds Hunter · EA $17.99 7 100% 210 $3.8k (exactly $3,778) Bassel Laoun
Dino running from a FURRY: GAMESFORFARM $2.99 21 100% 630 $1.9k (exactly $1,884) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm
Story of the Olivia $12.99 4 0% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Uğur ÇELİK
Ashes of Ambition $6.99 7 28% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) HiddenGem Studio
Phantom the Huntress $6.99 4 50% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Hoffnung Haydn
Whispers of the Dead $0.99 6 66% 180 $178 (exactly $178) Agoge Studios
Bulletproof Tank Adventure $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) HAPPYTECH
Sef Saga · EA $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sef

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.