Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Hunting game?

Hunting + Female Protagonist

Only 14 developers shipped a Female-Led Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sensual Adventures - Treasure Island, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 295% on the market, 24 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $182k → $300 → $360
Outcomes for Hunting + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $360 (exactly $360)
Top 25% $7.6k (exactly $7,645)
Top 5% $273k (exactly $272,609)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 40
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 295% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 497 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $360, 1 in 4 over $7.6k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
GOD EATER 3 older $59.99 7,736 80% 232k $14M (exactly $13,922,479) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
GOD EATER 2 Rage Burst older $49.99 3,510 80% 105k $5.3M (exactly $5,263,947) BANDAI NAMCO Studio, SHIFT, QLOC
Toukiden: Kiwami older $59.99 1,134 69% 34k $2.0M (exactly $2,040,860) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
My Island older $14.99 1,652 66% 50k $743k (exactly $742,904) SnowBaby Games
The Red Lantern older $24.99 934 83% 28k $700k (exactly $700,220) Timberline Studio
Hunt and Snare · EA older $29.99 720 80% 22k $648k (exactly $647,784) Ruffleneck, Hare, Drathek
Sensual Adventures - Treasure Island · EA $29.99 303 81% 9.1k $273k (exactly $272,609) Puppetmaster3dx
A Day Out older $9.99 607 76% 18k $182k (exactly $181,918) KevTheDev, gamesbychris
Touhou Mechanical Scrollery | 幻想討幻経 older $19.99 243 53% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) 巫女さん作法
Welcome to Planet E1d0r4d0! $8.99 119 68% 3.6k $32k (exactly $32,094) LuluGames
Scotland Yard – Hunting Mister X $14.99 21 23% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) BitBarons GmbH
I Mother $14.99 17 94% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) HellYeah!
ShuffleHunt $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) PURESO_STUDIO
The Final Shuffle $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) KaashFusionStudio
HUNTED $3.00 4 0% 120 $360 (exactly $360) Marcos moreira
A Fishy RPG $0.99 11 45% 330 $327 (exactly $327) LGV
OKeverything with 3000 beauties 2 $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) XIOF FAN, S+TEAMBABA, XU TING
Kunoichi's Cadence $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) CodeBlues

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.