Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shoot 'Em Up Hunting game?

Hunting + Shoot 'Em Up

Only 11 developers shipped a Shoot 'Em Up Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Original Moorhuhn Hunt, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $359 → $657 → $210 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $299 (exactly $299)
Top 5% $13k (exactly $12,558)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 37
Announced 9
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Shoot 'Em Up; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $4.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 1990's, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 8 games average 94% positive over 197 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $210, 1 in 4 over $290, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Death in the Water 2 older $14.99 1,734 83% 52k $780k (exactly $779,780) Lighthouse Games Studio
IS Defense older $5.99 1,465 91% 44k $263k (exactly $263,260) Destructive Creations
Shark Attack Deathmatch 2 older $4.99 1,415 74% 42k $212k (exactly $211,826) Lighthouse Games Studio
Dinosis Survival older $5.99 291 55% 8.7k $52k (exactly $52,293) Corpix Games
The Original Moorhuhn Hunt $2.99 140 97% 4.2k $13k (exactly $12,558) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Moorhuhn X - Crazy Chicken X older $4.99 47 100% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Freediving Hunter Spearfishing the World older $19.99 11 72% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Strongbox3d
BangBang PewPew older $24.99 8 87% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Molerat Digital Art Ltd.
Agent 01 older $19.99 8 75% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) GamesBraz
Moorhuhn Remake $2.99 38 89% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Big Buck Backshots $1.99 11 100% 330 $657 (exactly $657) Hilltop Games
Star Witch $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Frozen Dungeon
Dinosaur Zoo VR : Dinosaur Hunting $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) dani360_studios
Zombie Outbreak: Undead Survival $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Squad Cell
Kunoichi's Cadence $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) CodeBlues
ULTRA X-TREME HUNTING SIMULATOR 2001 $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Ref
Kite Hunter $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) WhiteClockGames
Gut Grease $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Michael Medearis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.