Do I ship it?

GamesHuntingHunting + Mining

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining Hunting game?

Hunting + Mining

Only 10 developers shipped a Mining Hunting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Quinfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.8k against a market of $630. 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 48660% on the market, 18 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hunting + Mining
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.5k → $33k → $489k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hunting + Mining: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $2.8k (exactly $2,844)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,267)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 33
Announced 18
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 48660% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Hunting, Mining
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 52% positive over 13,189 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $2.8k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hunting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $33k · 29 announced
  2. + Base BuildingPoor odds24 devs · median $29k · 70 announced
  3. + Co-opPoor odds30 devs · median $22k · 58 announced
  4. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds19 devs · median $22k · 29 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds31 devs · median $18k · 56 announced
  6. + AgriculturePoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 20 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds37 devs · median $12k · 77 announced
  8. + MagicPoor odds10 devs · median $9.0k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds76 devs · median $5.7k · 128 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $4.8k · 79 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds50 devs · median $4.8k · 116 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 11 announced

All 72 pairs on the Hunting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Rising World · EA older $14.99 5,310 85% 159k $2.4M (exactly $2,387,907) JIW-Games
Alaska Gold Fever $16.99 959 79% 29k $489k (exactly $488,802) Baked Games
9th Dawn III older $15.99 501 87% 15k $240k (exactly $240,330) Valorware
Eden Island older $14.99 232 58% 7.0k $104k (exactly $104,330) Moon Studio
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
Ice World $9.99 111 57% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) CoolRabbit Games
Hazeron Starship older $19.99 55 70% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Hazeron Freehold LLC
PostCollapse older $7.99 127 56% 3.8k $30k (exactly $30,442) Ambiera
Fallen Angel: Hell Survival $19.99 15 86% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Strongfinger
Wild West Survival · EA older $19.99 15 46% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Altair Games LLC
Crazy Caveman · EA $4.99 19 52% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Caveman Game
Undefined Survivors -アンディファインド サバイバーズ- · EA $29.99 2 0% 60 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Runpath Inc.
The Hunter's Path $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) JustWallWireHead Games
Monster Mine Clash $2.99 6 50% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Zer0 Se7en
Gravenfall: Veil of Darkness $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kyle Rogstad
Otherwise $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) MonstrCorp

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.