Should I ship a Driving game?
Driving
Of 784 developers who shipped a Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,312 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2193 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 1,312 games are announced against 457 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $19,767) |
| Top 5% | $1.4M (exactly $1,377,200) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 784 |
| Released games | 2,522 |
| Announced | 1,312 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Driving
- effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Driving
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 660,626 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 403 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,312 games are announced against 457 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
All pairs with Driving
- Driving + Arcade Poor odds $897
- Driving + Top-Down Shooter Poor odds $748
- Driving + Parkour Poor odds $732
- Driving + Sci-fi Poor odds $719
- Driving + Tactical Poor odds $716
- Driving + Choose Your Own Adventure Poor odds $716
- Driving + Quick-Time Events Poor odds $539
- Driving + Score Attack Poor odds $449
- Driving + Runner Poor odds $449
- Driving + Precision Platformer Poor odds $449
- Driving + Shoot 'Em Up Poor odds $178
- Driving + Historical Dead $417k
- City Builder + Driving Dead $23k
- Driving + Farming Sim Dead $3.1k
- Driving + Naval Dead $2.4k
- Driving + 6DOF Dead $1.4k
- Driving + Visual Novel Dead $1.4k
- Driving + Robots Dead $1.1k
- Driving + Space Sim Dead $899
- 3D Fighter + Driving Dead $839
- Driving + Agriculture Dead $718
- Driving + Rhythm Dead $599
- Driving + War Dead $480
- Battle Royale + Driving Dead $480
- Motocross + Driving Dead $478
- Driving + 3D Platformer Dead $419
- Driving + Tanks Dead $419
- Driving + Fantasy Dead $358
- Cycling + Driving Dead $239
- Driving + Aliens Dead $210
- Driving + 2D Platformer Dead $120
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Forza Horizon 5 | older | $59.99 | 260,218 89% | 7.8M | $468M (exactly $468,314,335) | Playground Games |
| | Euro Truck Simulator 2 | older | $19.99 | 756,984 97% | 23M | $454M (exactly $453,963,305) | SCS Software |
| | BeamNG.drive | · EA older | $24.99 | 388,236 97% | 12M | $291M (exactly $291,060,529) | BeamNG |
| | Need for Speed™ Heat | older | $69.99 | 128,933 84% | 3.9M | $271M (exactly $270,720,620) | Ghost Games |
| | Forza Horizon 6 | $69.99 | 86,730 82% | 2.6M | $182M (exactly $182,106,981) | Playground Games | |
| | Schedule I | · EA | $19.99 | 288,939 97% | 8.7M | $173M (exactly $173,276,718) | TVGS |
| | Teardown | older | $29.99 | 126,563 95% | 3.8M | $114M (exactly $113,868,731) | Tuxedo Labs |
| | Need for Speed™ Unbound | older | $69.99 | 49,862 61% | 1.5M | $105M (exactly $104,695,241) | Criterion Games |
| | American Truck Simulator | older | $19.99 | 165,692 97% | 5.0M | $99M (exactly $99,365,492) | SCS Software |
| | Assetto Corsa | older | $19.99 | 136,067 92% | 4.1M | $82M (exactly $81,599,380) | Kunos Simulazioni |
| | My Summer Car | $14.99 | 108,503 94% | 3.3M | $49M (exactly $48,793,799) | Amistech Games | |
| | F1® 25 | $49.99 | 25,395 87% | 762k | $38M (exactly $38,084,882) | Codemasters | |
| | Tokyo Xtreme Racer | $49.99 | 15,284 93% | 459k | $23M (exactly $22,921,415) | Genki Co., Ltd. | |
| | Assetto Corsa EVO | · EA | $39.99 | 16,545 60% | 496k | $20M (exactly $19,849,036) | KUNOS Simulazioni |
| | Le Mans Ultimate | $39.99 | 15,068 79% | 452k | $18M (exactly $18,077,080) | Studio 397 | |
| | RV There Yet? | $7.99 | 72,732 90% | 2.2M | $17M (exactly $17,433,860) | Nuggets Entertainment | |
| | RoadCraft | $39.99 | 13,527 74% | 406k | $16M (exactly $16,228,342) | Saber Interactive | |
| | Drive Beyond Horizons | · EA | $24.99 | 17,903 77% | 537k | $13M (exactly $13,421,879) | Drive Beyond Horizons |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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