Do I ship it?

GamesDrivingDriving + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Driving game?

Driving + Precision Platformer

Of 34 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $41k, ×67 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 29 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 29 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $1.0k → $12k → $732 → $210 → $419 (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Driving + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $42k (exactly $41,940)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 84
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, 3D Platformer, Physics
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 4,017 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Get To Work $12.99 3,456 88% 104k $1.3M (exactly $1,346,803) Isto Inc.
Alex Kidd in Miracle World DX older $19.99 756 80% 23k $453k (exactly $453,373) Jankenteam
JellyCar Worlds older $7.99 1,008 96% 30k $242k (exactly $241,618) Walaber Entertainment LLC
Best Forklift Operator older $19.99 224 75% 6.7k $134k (exactly $134,333) Simmersiv
Driving Is Hard $6.99 200 79% 6.0k $42k (exactly $41,940) Elegant Horse Studios
Ultimate Godspeed older $12.99 75 89% 2.3k $29k (exactly $29,228) Ninoko
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Dangerous Mountain Together $4.99 164 73% 4.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Çağatay Demir, Doğukan Şahin
Speed Stars older $2.99 227 79% 6.8k $20k (exactly $20,362) Luke Doukakis
Forklift Extreme: Deluxe Edition older $9.99 59 94% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Last Man Gaming
Goblintown: Really Hard Driving Game · EA $4.99 65 89% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) BiG INC. CO. LLC.
Transporter $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Acid Pixel Studios
Deedlee Doo! Carkour! $3.99 29 96% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) Just Purkey Games
Trailer Game $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Ay Racamba
WINCH IT OUT $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) ARASLANIX
Car Parkour Together $0.99 52 88% 1.6k $1.5k (exactly $1,544) cnsgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.