Do I ship it?

GamesDrivingDriving + Naval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Naval Driving game?

Driving + Naval

Only 7 developers shipped a Naval Driving game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Professional Ship Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.4k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 11 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Naval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Driving + Naval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 5% $90k (exactly $89,886)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 30
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Naval
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 5,709 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $89k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 11 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ships At Sea · EA older $24.99 2,479 69% 74k $1.9M (exactly $1,858,506) Misc Games
NavalArt · EA older $19.99 2,362 90% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) Rigidbody
World Ship Simulator older $19.99 177 16% 5.3k $106k (exactly $106,147) Odin Game Studio
Ships 2017 older $19.99 156 32% 4.7k $94k (exactly $93,553) FragOut
Professional Ship Simulator · EA $36.99 81 62% 2.4k $90k (exactly $89,886) SWE Systems
Hydrofoil Generation older $19.99 103 84% 3.1k $62k (exactly $61,769) Jaxx Vane Studio
Summer Trip Cruise older $9.99 103 90% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,869) Gius Caminiti
Ports Of Call Deluxe 3D 2024 older $14.99 46 78% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Dipl. Ing. Rolf-Dieter Klein
Sandbox World older $4.99 133 72% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,910) XMAKE
FIREGROUND Modern War older $4.99 69 68% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,329) Xyak-Xyak
Speedboat Simulator · EA $8.99 10 70% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Hard Shark Games
Dragons Reef VR $19.99 4 50% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Radoslaw Kutowinski
Fuel Cell · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Efshapo
Deep Saturation $2.99 7 42% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Panic Panda
The Great Ocean $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Actrio Studio
Lullapops Sail Race $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Gamore Ltd.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.