Do I ship it?

GamesDrivingDriving + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Driving game?

Driving + Agriculture

Only 7 developers shipped an Agriculture Driving game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Train Sim World® 5, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $720 against a market of $630. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 8140% on the market, 19 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Driving + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $159k (exactly $158,920)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,632,692)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 38
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 8140% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, Agriculture
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 115,432 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $150k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming Simulator 19 older $17.99 64,621 94% 1.9M $35M (exactly $34,875,954) GIANTS Software
Farming Simulator 17 older $14.99 23,063 93% 692k $10M (exactly $10,371,431) GIANTS Software
Farming Simulator 15 older $12.99 13,306 92% 399k $5.2M (exactly $5,185,348) GIANTS Software
Train Sim World® 5 $39.99 3,028 80% 91k $3.6M (exactly $3,632,692) Dovetail Games
Farmer's Dynasty - Final Harvest Edition older $19.99 3,484 77% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,089,355) UMEO Studios
Farming Simulator 2013: Titanium Edition older $14.99 3,926 91% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,765,522) GIANTS Software
Lawn Mowing Simulator older $19.99 2,126 74% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,274,962) Skyhook Games
Professional Farmer: Cattle and Crops older $19.99 1,151 67% 35k $690k (exactly $690,255) Masterbrain Bytes
Farm Expert 2017 older $19.99 462 38% 14k $277k (exactly $277,061) Silden
Rancher: A new life · EA $19.99 265 64% 8.0k $159k (exactly $158,920) Sim Farm S.A.
The Brewline $9.99 110 84% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) Alcora Games
Smoke Shop Simulator · EA $3.99 6 0% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Anka Games
Chicken Inc. · EA $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Enceladus Games
The S.H.O.W. $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) SGS
Truck License Trainer $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Solidicaste

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.