Do I ship it?

GamesDrivingDriving + Tanks

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tanks Driving game?

Driving + Tanks

Only 10 developers shipped a Tanks Driving game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Call to Arms: Panzer Elite, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 22 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Tanks
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.3k → $2.4k → $4.2k
Outcomes for Driving + Tanks: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $419 (exactly $419)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,733,722)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 42
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, Tanks
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 70% positive over 2,808 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $420, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call to Arms: Panzer Elite · EA $29.99 1,927 69% 58k $1.7M (exactly $1,733,722) Digitalmindsoft
NavalArt · EA older $19.99 2,362 90% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) Rigidbody
Instruments of Destruction older $19.99 1,429 91% 43k $857k (exactly $856,971) Radiangames
Tank Squad $19.99 847 70% 25k $508k (exactly $507,946) DeGenerals S.A.
Armored Battle Crew [World War 1] - Tank Warfare and Crew Management Simulator · EA older $19.99 635 32% 19k $381k (exactly $380,809) Gattai Games
Crash Drive 3 older $19.99 219 93% 6.6k $131k (exactly $131,334) M2H
Armored Front: Tiger Command · EA older $19.99 46 45% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) AutoRotate180
On the front line older $6.99 113 59% 3.4k $24k (exactly $23,696) Alekseev
Sandbox World older $4.99 133 72% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,910) XMAKE
Winter Fury: The Longest Road older $18.99 28 78% 840 $16k (exactly $15,952) Spidermonk Entertainment
Transporter $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Acid Pixel Studios
ULTIMATE ARMORED TURBODRIFTER ~ SaGa Chapter 2 ~【TANK AUTHORITY WOLFRAM】 $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) The Dark Union
Project Dejavu $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Noise Pattern
Undead World Order $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) MFG Studio
Vehicle Laboratory $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Coarse Bread Access
Tank Busters · EA $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) tankotableat
Canyon Raid $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dad Does Games
Heroes of Retribution $16.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sortech Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.