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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Driving game?
Driving + Choose Your Own Adventure
Of 21 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×3427 the market median. Revenue is up 6020% on the market; 38 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $148 (exactly $148) |
|---|---|
| Median | $716 (exactly $716) |
| Top 25% | $10k (exactly $10,195) |
| Top 5% | $2.2M (exactly $2,152,323) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 69 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 6020% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Driving
- effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Driving, Choose Your Own Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sandbox, Building, Life Sim
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 24,458 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + World War IIFair
- + MusicFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + LogicFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Watch Dogs®: Legion | older | $59.99 | 11,891 56% | 357k | $21M (exactly $21,400,233) | Ubisoft Toronto |
| | Mon Bazou | $15.99 | 19,922 97% | 598k | $9.6M (exactly $9,556,583) | Santa Goat | |
| | Lake | older | $19.99 | 4,484 87% | 135k | $2.7M (exactly $2,689,055) | Gamious |
| | Car Service Together | · EA | $19.99 | 3,589 79% | 108k | $2.2M (exactly $2,152,323) | V12 Studio |
| | Caravan SandWitch | older | $24.99 | 2,797 88% | 84k | $2.1M (exactly $2,096,911) | Studio Plane Toast |
| | Wrench | · EA older | $29.99 | 1,898 84% | 57k | $1.7M (exactly $1,707,631) | Missing Digit |
| | Apex Point | · EA older | $18.99 | 1,832 86% | 55k | $1.0M (exactly $1,043,690) | Apex Studio |
| | UNDER the SAND - a road trip simulator | older | $19.99 | 1,556 78% | 47k | $933k (exactly $933,133) | IndieMax |
| | Caravanners | · EA | $17.99 | 712 35% | 21k | $384k (exactly $384,266) | Akif Akdemir |
| | Heading Out | older | $19.99 | 639 74% | 19k | $383k (exactly $383,208) | Serious Sim, Crunching Koalas |
| | Drunkard Simulator | · EA | $14.99 | 46 34% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $20,686) | O.S.D. |
| | Scrap Dealer Simulator | $6.99 | 58 72% | 1.7k | $12k (exactly $12,163) | Emre Şahin | |
| | WorldDrive: Real Open-World Driving Simulator | · EA | $19.99 | 17 35% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | AJ Simulation & Engineering |
| | Build For Sale Simulator | · EA | $8.99 | 32 46% | 960 | $8.6k (exactly $8,630) | Paragon Game Studio |
| | Low and Furious | · EA | $6.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $3.1k (exactly $3,146) | Code IT Game Studio |
| | MEMOLOGY: Absurd racing | $0.99 | 59 94% | 1.8k | $1.8k (exactly $1,752) | Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm | |
| | Victor Lawson | $3.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $958 (exactly $958) | 1tempobro |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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