Do I ship it?

GamesDrivingDriving + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Driving game?

Driving + 3D Platformer

Of 92 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 86 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 53 developers shipped in the last year and 86 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 86 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 92
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $210 → $479 → $419 → $478 → $449 → $419 (still earning) → $89 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Driving + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 92
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $419 (exactly $419)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,235)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $58,007)
Developers, 2 yr 92
Released games 229
Announced 86
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, 3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Physics, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 5,592 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $420, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 50 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 86 games are announced against 53 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Saints Row®: The Third™ Remastered older $29.99 3,968 73% 119k $3.6M (exactly $3,570,010) Deep Silver Volition, Sperasoft
Caravan SandWitch older $24.99 2,797 88% 84k $2.1M (exactly $2,096,911) Studio Plane Toast
Spark the Electric Jester 3 older $24.99 1,913 96% 57k $1.4M (exactly $1,434,176) Feperd Games
Get To Work $12.99 3,456 88% 104k $1.3M (exactly $1,346,803) Isto Inc.
Yellow Taxi Goes Vroom older $16.99 1,621 97% 49k $826k (exactly $826,224) Panik Arcade
WheelMates $19.99 496 75% 15k $297k (exactly $297,451) Firevolt
Truck-kun is Supporting Me from Another World?! $19.99 238 83% 7.1k $143k (exactly $142,729) Strange Scaffold
VR Skater older $19.99 222 86% 6.7k $133k (exactly $133,133) DEFICIT Games
Youropa older $14.99 288 93% 8.6k $130k (exactly $129,514) frecle
Chained Wheels $4.99 619 69% 19k $93k (exactly $92,664) Karga Games
Glider Simulator $7.99 242 97% 7.3k $58k (exactly $58,007) HFRK.
Moorhuhn Kart 4 $19.99 90 86% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) Korion Interactive
Driving Is Hard $6.99 200 79% 6.0k $42k (exactly $41,940) Elegant Horse Studios
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Dangerous Mountain Together $4.99 164 73% 4.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Çağatay Demir, Doğukan Şahin
DriveCrazy $10.99 73 94% 2.2k $24k (exactly $24,068) TubezGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.