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Should I ship a Visual Novel Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Visual Novel
Only 9 developers shipped a Visual Novel Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cardfight!! Vanguard Dear Days 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.7k against a market of $630. 23 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.7k (exactly $3,742) |
| Top 25% | $46k (exactly $46,022) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,324,911) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 71% positive over 1,132 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 3 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
Yu-Gi-Oh! Legacy of the Duelist : Link Evolution 2020 · $4.7M 
Cardfight!! Vanguard Dear Days 2 2025 · $1.3M 
Danganronpa S: Ultimate Summer Camp 2022 · $456k 
Helmetman 2023 · EA · $82k 
Fuckstone 2025 · $78k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Yu-Gi-Oh! Legacy of the Duelist : Link Evolution | older | $39.99 | 3,905 82% | 117k | $4.7M (exactly $4,684,828) | Other Ocean Emeryville |
| | Cardfight!! Vanguard Dear Days 2 | $69.99 | 631 67% | 19k | $1.3M (exactly $1,324,911) | FURYU Corporation, LANCARSE Ltd. | |
| | Danganronpa S: Ultimate Summer Camp | older | $19.99 | 761 62% | 23k | $456k (exactly $456,372) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. |
| | Helmetman | · EA older | $19.99 | 136 79% | 4.1k | $82k (exactly $81,559) | GoniNmimi Games |
| | Fuckstone | $11.99 | 217 88% | 6.5k | $78k (exactly $78,055) | Anime Mania | |
 | 修仙•母珠传 Pig Training Legend | $7.99 | 192 72% | 5.8k | $46k (exactly $46,022) | MouseKKK | |
 | Final Stardust: Cosmic Nexus | older | $14.99 | 72 75% | 2.2k | $32k (exactly $32,378) | NourSaiFR |
 | Schoolgirl Card Pull Simulator | $6.99 | 34 61% | 1.0k | $7.1k (exactly $7,130) | Violet Soft | |
 | Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection | $6.99 | 27 74% | 810 | $5.7k (exactly $5,662) | Violet Soft | |
 | PERSEVERANCE: Chapter 1 | $4.99 | 25 44% | 750 | $3.7k (exactly $3,742) | XPECTED | |
 | Chalk & Blood | · EA | $8.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | BoiraTech |
 | Fated All-In: Casino 5 Queens | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | TEAM OLDBOY_Levi | |
 | Waifu Dominion: Lustful Reign | $3.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | A.I.Flo | |
 | Chosen Card Chronicles | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Funnyface |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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