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Should I ship a Turn-Based Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Turn-Based
Only 7 developers shipped a paid Turn-Based Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rogue Voltage, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 9 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $13k against a market of $630. 9 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $6.3k (exactly $6,298) |
|---|---|
| Median | $13k (exactly $12,579) |
| Top 25% | $217k (exactly $217,249) |
| Top 5% | $284k (exactly $284,462) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 57 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 44%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Turn-Based
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game, Turn-Based
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 15,190 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $6.3k. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
Yu-Gi-Oh! Legacy of the Duelist 2016 · $2.7M 
Faeria 2017 · $912k 
Nowhere Prophet 2019 · $541k 
Rento Fortune: Online Dice Board Game (大富翁) 2017 · $459k 
Ascension: Deckbuilding Game 2014 · $430k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Yu-Gi-Oh! Legacy of the Duelist | older | $19.99 | 4,452 83% | 134k | $2.7M (exactly $2,669,864) | Other Ocean Interactive |
| | Faeria | older | $19.99 | 1,520 83% | 46k | $912k (exactly $911,544) | Abrakam Entertainment SA |
| | Nowhere Prophet | older | $24.99 | 721 77% | 22k | $541k (exactly $540,534) | Sharkbomb Studios |
| | Rento Fortune: Online Dice Board Game (大富翁) | older | $4.99 | 3,063 50% | 92k | $459k (exactly $458,531) | LAN - GAMES LTD |
| | Ascension: Deckbuilding Game | older | $9.99 | 1,435 88% | 43k | $430k (exactly $430,070) | Playdek, Inc. |
 | Heart of Crown PC | older | $24.99 | 528 80% | 16k | $396k (exactly $395,842) | illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, Japanime Digital |
 | Rogue Voltage | $15.99 | 593 92% | 18k | $284k (exactly $284,462) | Horizont Computergrafik | |
 | Journey of Greed | older | $6.99 | 1,179 89% | 35k | $247k (exactly $247,236) | Dird Games |
 | Villages & Dungeons | $6.99 | 1,036 91% | 31k | $217k (exactly $217,249) | CaCaFrog Studio | |
 | Card City Nights | older | $9.99 | 663 89% | 20k | $199k (exactly $198,701) | Ludosity |
 | Fairtravel Battle CCG | · EA | $14.99 | 52 98% | 1.6k | $23k (exactly $23,384) | Flaming Torch Games |
 | 1953: NATO vs Warsaw Pact | $5.99 | 70 41% | 2.1k | $13k (exactly $12,579) | Wastelands Interactive | |
 | Reptilian Rising | $29.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $6.3k (exactly $6,298) | Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper L… (Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper Luminal Games) | |
 | VELATO | · EA | $8.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $4.9k (exactly $4,855) | VELATO |
 | Just a Little Purr suit | $3.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $1.7k (exactly $1,676) | Wise Box Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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