Do I ship it?

GamesTop-Down ShooterTop-Down Shooter + Western

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Western Top-Down Shooter?

Top-Down Shooter + Western

Of 22 developers who shipped a Western Top-Down Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $53k, ×85 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Top-Down Shooter + Western
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.8k → $426k → $2.3k → $899 → $239 → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Top-Down Shooter + Western: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,332)
Top 5% $54k (exactly $53,693)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 49
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Western
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Top-Down Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Bullet Hell
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 541 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $53k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Top-Down Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + VampiresFair16 devs · median $3.7k · 10 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  3. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 15 announced
  4. + IdlerFair24 devs · median $748 · 30 announced
  5. + ArcheryFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  6. + LovecraftianPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 28 announced
  7. + Tactical RPGPoor odds12 devs · median $5.5k · 16 announced
  8. + Action RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + HistoricalPoor odds18 devs · median $3.3k · 24 announced
  10. + ModernPoor odds13 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds45 devs · median $3.1k · 125 announced
  12. + DystopianPoor odds24 devs · median $3.1k · 92 announced

All 150 pairs on the Top-Down Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
12 is Better Than 6 older $9.99 4,348 83% 130k $1.3M (exactly $1,303,096) Ink Stains Games
West of Dead older $19.99 1,289 76% 39k $773k (exactly $773,013) Upstream Arcade
Colt Canyon older $14.99 1,543 90% 46k $694k (exactly $693,887) Retrific
Bounty of One older $6.99 2,749 88% 82k $576k (exactly $576,465) OptizOnion
Kill The Crows older $4.99 2,848 95% 85k $426k (exactly $426,346) 5minlab Corp.
Bloodroots older $19.99 230 89% 6.9k $138k (exactly $137,931) Paper Cult
Dino Path Trail $14.99 197 76% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) Void Pointer
Graveyard Gunslingers $7.99 224 58% 6.7k $54k (exactly $53,693) PyroPhysics
A Fistful of Gun older $9.99 137 59% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,059) FarmerGnome
Ritual: Crown of Horns older $19.99 58 68% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) Draw Distance
PIZZA WESTERN 🍕 $29.99 10 90% 300 $9.0k (exactly $8,997) Lola Fisher
Dust & Courage: Jake Bolton’s Journey $7.99 23 86% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) Storyforge Games
Westild's Law $5.99 27 92% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) BUG-Studio
a FISTFUL of COWBOYS $2.99 26 100% 780 $2.3k (exactly $2,332) frog 🐸
West Escape $5.99 11 90% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) Estoty
Dracs After Dusk $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) OliveHillStudios
Rootin' Tootin' Lootin' & Shootin' $8.99 6 100% 180 $1.6k (exactly $1,618) Raspberry Jam
Revolvermen $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Oskar Wetterbrandt

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.