Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter Action RTS?

Action RTS + Top-Down Shooter

Only 14 developers shipped a Top-Down Shooter Action RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Door Kickers 2: Task Force North, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.0k, ×2.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $9.2M, ×6168 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 32 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 32 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Action RTS + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,473)
Top 5% $9.2M (exactly $9,239,303)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 43
Announced 32
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 265% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 12,706 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $4.0k, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $9.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 32 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Door Kickers 2: Task Force North $24.99 12,324 96% 370k $9.2M (exactly $9,239,303) KillHouse Games
Artificial Extinction 2 $19.99 113 77% 3.4k $68k (exactly $67,766) 100Hr Games Inc
Frontline Crisis older $5.99 348 87% 10k $63k (exactly $62,536) BCQT
AirMech Command older $7.99 188 68% 5.6k $45k (exactly $45,064) Carbon Games
Antivirus Girl $7.99 169 88% 5.1k $41k (exactly $40,509) Chowbie
Control Craft 3 older $4.99 235 73% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,180) Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik
HELLFRONT: HONEYMOON older $9.99 64 75% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) SkyGoblin
Krosfighter older $9.99 57 64% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Doryah Games
Battle Craft older $17.99 16 81% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Yaremchuk
Devader older $7.99 32 93% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Falkenbrew
Misty Land $8.99 24 79% 720 $6.5k (exactly $6,473) Branches Games
Pact of Steel $14.99 12 83% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Steel Potato Games LLC
Just Move:Clean City Messy Battle $15.99 11 45% 330 $5.3k (exactly $5,277) daminggede
BATTLERCORE: TEAM BLAZER $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) SCARLET-G
Territorial Conquest $4.99 22 50% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Uğur CAN
SpaceCraft Brawl $4.99 17 94% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) ruploz
PESKY ORCS! · EA $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Johannes Lott

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.