Do I ship it?

GamesTactical RPGTactical RPG + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Top-Down Shooter

Only 12 developers shipped a Top-Down Shooter Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.5k, ×8.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×521 the market median. Revenue is up 2435% on the market; 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 2435% on the market, 16 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $600 → $390 → $30 → $7.8k
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $5.5k (exactly $5,513)
Top 25% $140k (exactly $140,080)
Top 5% $327k (exactly $326,958)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 36
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2435% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 86% positive over 2,362 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $5.5k, 1 in 4 over $140k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Shadow of Yidhra older $10.99 1,355 89% 41k $447k (exactly $446,744) WhitePeach
Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum $12.99 839 98% 25k $327k (exactly $326,958) nodayshalleraseyou
Trench Lord: Eastern Front $11.99 774 83% 23k $278k (exactly $278,408) Tracer Studio, LING YUN CO.,LTD.
Bioweaver $6.99 668 77% 20k $140k (exactly $140,080) Emprom Game, Wild Kid Games
Status One $14.99 30 73% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) LastCall Studio
NEXT JUMP: Shmup Tactics older $3.99 78 80% 2.3k $9.3k (exactly $9,337) Post Mortem Pixels
MagicCar of Delicious $9.99 26 76% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) YINGGUO GAME
Dust & Courage: Jake Bolton’s Journey $7.99 23 86% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) Storyforge Games
Dense forest older $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Enemy Engaged 2: Desert Operations older $8.99 15 40% 450 $4.0k (exactly $4,046) G2 Games
Omega Luma : The First Battle $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Mavi Game Studios
zombie tide incoming Rising $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) AA Mini Games Studio
末日行者/to the Eden $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 翥游
XENO SIEGE $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) bulanke

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.