Do I ship it?

GamesTop-Down ShooterTop-Down Shooter + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Top-Down Shooter?

Top-Down Shooter + Vampires

Only 16 developers shipped a Vampire Top-Down Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rocket Rats, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.7k, ×6.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is up 175% on the market; 10 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 175% on the market, 10 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Top-Down Shooter + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.9k → $2.2k → $5.2k → $3.7k → $1.2k → $6.7k → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Top-Down Shooter + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,742)
Top 25% $74k (exactly $73,814)
Top 5% $429k (exactly $429,124)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 48
Announced 10
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 175% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Top-Down Shooter; all of the top 25% also carry Action Roguelike, Bullet Hell, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,740 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $73k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Top-Down Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-Based StrategyFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  2. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 15 announced
  3. + IdlerFair24 devs · median $748 · 30 announced
  4. + ArcheryFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  5. + LovecraftianPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 28 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGPoor odds12 devs · median $5.5k · 16 announced
  7. + Action RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  8. + HistoricalPoor odds18 devs · median $3.3k · 24 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds13 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  10. + CraftingPoor odds45 devs · median $3.1k · 125 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds24 devs · median $3.1k · 92 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds135 devs · median $3.1k · 207 announced

All 150 pairs on the Top-Down Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Apocalypse Party older $9.99 4,658 72% 140k $1.4M (exactly $1,396,003) Breaker Games
Rocket Rats $5.99 2,388 94% 72k $429k (exactly $429,124) Gagonfe
Asgard's Fall — Viking Survivors $9.99 1,301 79% 39k $390k (exactly $389,910) Soulpotion
Goobies older $5.99 1,866 90% 56k $335k (exactly $335,320) Höganäs Spel
Touhou ~Red Empress Devil. $8.99 438 70% 13k $118k (exactly $118,129) STUDIO POCO
Renfield: Bring Your Own Blood older $4.99 748 77% 22k $112k (exactly $111,976) Mega Cat Studios
东方栖霞园 ~ Blue devil in the Belvedere. older $9.99 297 92% 8.9k $89k (exactly $89,011) 东方祈华梦制作组
Sea of Survivors · EA older $6.99 415 81% 12k $87k (exactly $87,026) Nah Yeah Games
Larva Mortus older $4.99 511 76% 15k $76k (exactly $76,497) ·
Iron Core: Mech Survivor $6.99 352 73% 11k $74k (exactly $73,814) Soda Game Studio
Ghosts Keep Out $3.99 130 75% 3.9k $16k (exactly $15,561) Only Fun Games
Frogmageddon $4.99 45 91% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) Frog Mage Udon, Sunset Dreamland
Bloodmoon Survivors $4.99 32 100% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) Nicholas Evelson
NUMANUIN $4.99 25 92% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) Siberian Mouse
Dark Erosion: Endless Siege $6.99 15 80% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) LaoLiang
Dracs After Dusk $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) OliveHillStudios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.