Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Strategy + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Top-Down Shooter

Only 13 developers shipped a Top-Down Shooter Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Decks of Dexterity, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 13 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $0 → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,618)
Top 25% $5.0k (exactly $5,034)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $14,840)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 35
Announced 13
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 132 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $14k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced
  12. + SteampunkFair25 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shotgun King: The Final Checkmate older $9.99 5,918 92% 178k $1.8M (exactly $1,773,625) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
No Plan B older $14.99 761 86% 23k $342k (exactly $342,222) GFX47
DUSK '82: ULTIMATE EDITION older $6.99 383 95% 11k $80k (exactly $80,315) David Szymanski
Control Craft 3 older $4.99 235 73% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,180) Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik
Tactical Combat Department older $4.99 108 61% 3.2k $16k (exactly $16,168) LukasH
Decks of Dexterity $14.99 33 100% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Coded Games
WarForwards older $9.99 47 78% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Roman Pak
NEXT JUMP: Shmup Tactics older $3.99 78 80% 2.3k $9.3k (exactly $9,337) Post Mortem Pixels
Misty Land $8.99 24 79% 720 $6.5k (exactly $6,473) Branches Games
Last Bullet $6.99 28 100% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) ToxicByteGames
Idle Zombie Wave: Premium $7.99 21 38% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Ryki Studio
Space Grunts: Chrono Shard $15.99 4 100% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) Orangepixel
JAIL DICE: Roll to Break $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) GyoonyGames
Rootin' Tootin' Lootin' & Shootin' $8.99 6 100% 180 $1.6k (exactly $1,618) Raspberry Jam
Intergalactic Cleaning Squad $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Rigid Games
Bweh $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) mrcringedk
Clock Shooter $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) 4dimonk

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.