Games › Top-Down Shooter › Top-Down Shooter + Visual Novel
Should I ship a Visual Novel Top-Down Shooter?
Top-Down Shooter + Visual Novel
Only 10 developers shipped a Visual Novel Top-Down Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, RANDOMAX, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×4.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $20k, ×42 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $390 (exactly $390) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) |
| Top 25% | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) |
| Top 5% | $20k (exactly $20,080) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Top-Down Shooter
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Top-Down Shooter, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 74% positive over 257 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $390. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Top-Down Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + VampiresFair
- + Turn-Based StrategyFair
- + World War IIFair
- + IdlerFair
- + ArcheryFair
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + Tactical RPGPoor odds
- + Action RTSPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + DystopianPoor odds
Comparable games
SEX with HITLER 2022 · $704k 
Miss Neko: Pirates 2024 · $167k 
Captain Firehawk and the Laser Love Situation 2024 · $64k 
Grand Pigeon's Duty 2016 · $54k 
Yurukill: The Calumniation Games 2022 · $38k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | SEX with HITLER | older | $6.99 | 3,358 81% | 101k | $704k (exactly $704,173) | Adolf Games |
| | Miss Neko: Pirates | older | $3.99 | 1,395 83% | 42k | $167k (exactly $166,982) | Orangeee |
| | Captain Firehawk and the Laser Love Situation | older | $9.99 | 213 81% | 6.4k | $64k (exactly $63,836) | Portland Caviar |
| | Grand Pigeon's Duty | older | $3.99 | 448 76% | 13k | $54k (exactly $53,626) | WolfgangIs |
| | Yurukill: The Calumniation Games | older | $19.99 | 64 76% | 1.9k | $38k (exactly $38,381) | IzanagiGames, G.rev Ltd., ESQUADRA,inc. |
 | RANDOMAX | $9.99 | 67 92% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $20,080) | ASTRO PORT | |
 | Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel | older | $14.99 | 42 80% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $18,887) | Innomen Team |
 | Sexy Iron Maidens | $4.99 | 123 69% | 3.7k | $18k (exactly $18,413) | Earl Marx | |
 | WarForwards | older | $9.99 | 47 78% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | Roman Pak |
 | Die Again | older | $12.99 | 31 90% | 930 | $12k (exactly $12,081) | VarnGameDev |
 | BATTLERCORE: TEAM BLAZER | $14.99 | 9 66% | 270 | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) | SCARLET-G | |
 | Doki Doki Sharky Days | $3.99 | 25 64% | 750 | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) | Blue Fin Games | |
 | IMRY | $4.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | Igor Yakunin | |
 | Idol Hacked! | $1.99 | 16 43% | 480 | $955 (exactly $955) | theNeko | |
 | Unity-Chan: Desktop Companion | $12.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $390 (exactly $390) | Jacopo Dev | |
 | Magic Ball Breaker | $4.90 | 2 100% | 60 | $294 (exactly $294) | Somel | |
 | Final Rider | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Delirium Interactive | |
 | Paid By Blood | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | HU JIA XI |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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