Do I ship it?

GamesSwordplaySwordplay + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie Swordplay game?

Swordplay + Zombies

Only 12 developers shipped a Zombie Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tracery of Fate, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $77k, ×123 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 22 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Swordplay + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.0k → $3.6k → $449 → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Swordplay + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $34,783)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $77,361)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 39
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Swordplay
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Swordplay
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 346 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $34k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Swordplay with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelFair13 devs · median $5.7k · 10 announced
  2. + Strategy RPGFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced
  4. + Auto BattlerFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced
  5. + DeckbuildingFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  6. + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  7. + SamuraiPoor odds12 devs · median $80k · 21 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $14k · 22 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds39 devs · median $13k · 79 announced
  10. + FightingPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $12k · 53 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 26 announced

All 115 pairs on the Swordplay page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hellsplit: Arena older $24.99 3,735 83% 112k $2.8M (exactly $2,800,130) Deep Type Games
Undead Citadel older $29.99 288 72% 8.6k $259k (exactly $259,114) Dark Curry S.L.
Ed-0: Zombie Uprising older $29.99 211 72% 6.3k $190k (exactly $189,837) LANCARSE
Unsouled older $19.99 265 72% 8.0k $159k (exactly $158,920) Megusta Game
Knights Within · EA older $17.99 250 95% 7.5k $135k (exactly $134,925) Indecision Labs
Tracery of Fate $19.99 129 73% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,361) Sign Narva
Breath of Life $14.99 104 78% 3.1k $47k (exactly $46,769) Satur Entertainment
Sancticide $19.99 58 62% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) Red Square Games, Sylen Studio
Heidelberg 1693 older $14.99 61 81% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Andrade Games
Sword Mistress of the Dungeon Town $17.99 38 65% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) ラブリープリチー超愛してる, Lovely Pretty Ultra Lov… (ラブリープリチー超愛してる, Lovely Pretty Ultra Loving You)
RHYTHMIC · EA $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Polar Studios Robin Kammel
Praise To The Moon $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) PolarCatStudio, MayaraCrulcifer
Pixel Troopers · EA $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Liberator Studios
Jumpscare Slayer $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Rusimitu Games
Residual Wilds $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Magic Art Hat
The Last Village · EA $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Skrixx

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.